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. 2021 Feb 18;4:222. doi: 10.1038/s42003-021-01734-w

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© This is a U.S. government work and not under copyright protection in the U.S.; foreign copyright protection may apply 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 7 — Results from a three‑by‑four factorial experimental design examining relative loss in spawner abundance from 2020 to 2060 due to climate‑change effects at four specific life stages. Net trends in population size are shown using the ratio of late abundance (2060–2069) compared with early abundance (2020–2029). Representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 ensemble-mean climate trends were imposed at each life stage shown, with other life stages remaining under a detrended climate scenario. A value of 1.0 (horizontal line) indicates no change in spawner abundance. Boxes show the interquartile range across simulations, while the whiskers extend to the most extreme values of individual simulations. Horizontal lines show median values. Model 1 (red) covariates include sea surface temperature (SST), summer temperature, and fall flow; Model 2 (yellow) covariates include SST and summer flow; Model 3 (blue) covariates include SST, upwelling, summer temperature, and fall flow.