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. 2021 Feb 18;11:4214. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-83540-2

Table 9.

Results for the uniform social distancing scenario USD1 with tracing.

Compliance USD1-Trace
hh ll hl
Deaths in first 500 days 15–16 K 79–82 K 23–24 K
ICU capacity exceeded on 0 days 0 days 0 days
Duration >500 days >500 days >500 days
Susceptible after 500 days 98% 75% 92–93%