Table 1.
Summary of key input data.∗
| Data | Base case value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 1. COVID-19 epidemic in China | ||
| 1.1 Total number of COVID-19 cases | 83 650 (95% CI, 73 510-97 330) | [13] |
| 1.2 Total COVID-19 deaths | 3345 (95% CI, 3007-3905) | [13] |
| 2. Direct costs | ||
| 2.1 Direct healthcare cost | ||
| 2.1.1 Proportion of mild/moderate, severe, and critical case (%) | 81.5%; 13.8%; 4.7% | [36] |
| 2.1.2 Length of hospital stay for patients with mild/moderate, severe, and critical COVID-19 (day) | 14; 21; 42 | [37] |
| 2.1.3 Average cost for close contact diagnosed as COVID-19 negative (RMB) | 532 | [7] |
| Data | Base case value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1.4 Average cost for suspected cases diagnosed as COVID-19 negative (RMB) | 1002 | [7] |
| 2.1.5 Average cost for confirmed case - nonsevere, severe, critical (RMB) | 5601; 52 951; 151 344 | [7] |
| 2.2 Direct non-healthcare cost | ||
| 2.2.1 Weighted quarantine cost for suspected cases diagnosed as COVID-19 negative (RMB) | 1170 | [7] |
| 2.2.2 Weighted quarantine cost for suspected cases diagnosed as COVID-19 positive (RMB) | 481 | [7] |
| 2.2.3 Weighted quarantine cost for all suspected cases (RMB) | 757 | [7] |
| Categories of data | Data value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3 Total cost on risk allowance for medical staff (100 million RMB) | ||
| 2.3.1 Number of front-line healthcare staff | 42 600 | [36] |
| 2.3.2 Daily allowance (RMB) | 300 | [38] |
| 3. Indirect costs | ||
| 3.1 Productivity loss | ||
| 3.1.1 National average salary per working day (RMB) | 272 | [15] |
| 3.1.2 Working time lost - people not considered to have had COVID-19 (day) | 23 | [7] |
| 3.1.3 Working time lost - close contact (day) | 28 | [7] |
| 3.1.4 Working time lost - suspected case (day) | 24 | [7] |
| Categories of data | Data value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1.5 Working time lost - confirmed case - nonsevere, severe, critical, dead (day) | 37; 41; 42; 44 | [7] |
| 3.2 National return to work index | ||
| 3.2.1 March 3, 2020（%） | 57.42 | [22] |
| 3.2.2 March 10, 2020（%） | 64.15 | [22] |
| 3.2.3 March 17, 2020（%） | 69.95 | [22] |
| 3.2.4 March 24, 2020（%） | 74.82 | [22] |
| 4. DALY | ||
| 4.1 Disability weight of mild/moderate COVID-19 | 0.01 | [20] |
| 4.2 Duration of mild/moderate COVID-19 (year) | 0.04 | [38] |
| Categories of data | Data value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 4.3 Disability weight of severe/critical COVID-19 | 0.53 | [20] |
| 4.4 Duration of severe/critical COVID-19 (year) | 0.12 | [38] |
| 4.5 Disability weight of sequela | 0.17 | [20] |
| 4.6 Sequelae duration (year) | 0.25 | [3] |
∗
A complete list of all input data with ranges and distributions are reported in Appendix 4.1 in Supplemental Materials found at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2020.12.009.