Table 2.

The burden of COVID-19 in China in real-world and different simulation scenarios.

Age	Cases	Deaths	YLDs	YLLs		DALYs
				Undiscounted	Discounted	Undiscounted	Discounted
Real-world
0~	753	0	0	0	-	0	0
10~	1004	3	0	208	97	209	97
20~	6776	23	2	1231	634	1233	636
30~	14 221	60	338	2584	1486	2921	1823
40~	16 061	124	172	4129	2664	4301	2836
50~	18 738	425	228	10 266	7445	10 494	7673
60~	16 061	1010	338	16 033	12 987	16 371	13 326
70~	7361	1020	58	9622	8522	9680	8580
80~	2677	679	1	3593	3376	3594	3376
Total	83 650	3345	1137	47 666	37 211	48 803	38 348
Scenario A: delay 1 week
0~	4167	0	1	-	0	1	1
10~	5556	12	2	748	347	749	348
20~	37 503	84	12	4415	2274	4427	2286

Age	Cases	Deaths	YLDs	YLLs		DALYs
				Undiscounted	Discounted	Undiscounted	Discounted
30~	78 710	216	1869	9269	5330	11 138	7199
40~	88 896	444	950	14 813	9558	15 763	10 508
50~	103 712	1524	1262	36 828	26 710	38 090	27 972
60~	88 896	3624	1872	57 517	46 591	59 389	48 464
70~	40 744	3660	320	34 518	30 572	34 839	30 892
80~	14 816	2436	5	12 890	12 109	12 894	12 114
Total	463 000	12 000	6293	170 998	133 491	177 291	139 784
Scenario B: delay 2 weeks
0~	21 024	0	7	-	-	7	7
10~	28 032	36	9	2243	1040	2252	1049
20~	189 216	252	59	13 245	6822	13 304	6881
30~	397 120	648	9431	27 806	15 990	37 237	25 421
40~	448 512	1332	4794	44 439	28 674	49 232	33 467
50~	523 264	4572	6368	110 484	80 129	116 852	86 497
60~	448 512	10 872	9447	172 551	139 774	181 998	149 220
70~	205 568	10 980	1615	103 555	91 716	105 170	93 331

Age	Cases	Deaths	YLDs	YLLs		DALYs
				Undiscounted	Discounted	Undiscounted	Discounted
80~	74 752	7308	23	38 669	36 328	38 693	36 352
Total	2 336 000	36 000	31 752	512 993	400 473	544 745	432 225
Scenario C: delay 4 weeks
0~	339 615	0	106	-	0	106	106
10~	452 820	291	142	18 132	8407	18 273	8549
20~	3 056 535	2037	955	107 064	55 146	108 019	56 102
30~	6 414 950	5238	152 341	224 768	129 253	377 109	281 594
40~	7 245 120	10 767	77 433	359 214	231 778	436 647	309 211
50~	8 452 640	36 957	102 866	893 080	647 707	995 946	750 574
60~	7 245 120	87 882	152 601	1 394 789	1 129 837	1 547 389	1 282 438
70~	3 320 680	88 755	26 094	837 071	741 370	863 165	767 464
80~	1 207 520	59 073	377	312 576	293 655	312 953	294 033
Total	37 735 000	291 000	512 916	4 146 693	3 237 153	4 659 608	3 750 069

DALY indicates disability-adjusted life-year; YLD, years lived with disability; YLL, years of life lost due to premature mortality.