TABLE 5.
No | Item | % (n) | % (n) | % (n) | % (n) | % (n) | % (n) |
[CI %] | [CI %] | [CI %] | [CI %] | [CI %] | [CI %] | ||
Question: How likely is the following to take place? | Certainly | ≥Very likely | ≥ Rather likely | ≤Rather unlikely | ≤ Very unlikely | Certainly not | |
F1 | A second wave of COVID-19 infections in Switzerland beginning before the end of the year 2020. | 11.4 (21) [7.5; 16.7] | 36.8 (68) [30.1; 43.9] | 77.8 (144) [71.3; 83.2] | 22.2 (41) [16.8; 28.7] | 2.2 (4) [0.8; 5.4] | 0.5 (1) [0.1; 3.0] |
F2 | A different pathogen causing another pandemic of equivalent or greater magnitude than COVID-19 within the next 20 years. | 12.4 (23) [8.4; 18.0] | 43.2 (80) [36.3; 50.4] | 88.6 (164) [83.3; 92.5] | 11.4 (21) [7.5; 16.7] | 2.7 (5) [1.2; 6.2] | 0.5 (1) [0.1; 3.0] |
The six answer options were “certainly,” “very likely,” “rather likely,” “rather unlikely,” “very unlikely,” and “certainly not;” “≥Rather likely” encompasses all individuals who answered “rather likely,” “very likely,” or “certainly;” “≤Rather unlikely” encompasses all individuals who answered “rather unlikely,” “very unlikely,” or “certainly not.” “CI” stands for Wilson’s confidence interval.