Table 8.
Results of screening analysis for 20 highest-value fisheries: RCP 8.5.
| Fishery | Annual ex-vessel revenues, 2007–2016 (2018 US$, millions) | Change in present value of ex-vessel revenues, 2021–2100: RCP 8.5 versus baseline, r = 3% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Standard deviation | Projected change (2018 US$, millions)a | Percentage change | |
| American lobster | 502.5 | 111.5 | (219.9) | −1.4% |
| Sea scallop | 501.4 | 72.8 | (114.3) | −0.8% |
| Walleye pollock | 390.4 | 49.9 | 189.9 | 1.6% |
| White shrimp | 246.3 | 30.1 | 1269.8 | 17% |
| Brown shrimp | 216.2 | 51.6 | (176.5) | −2.7% |
| Pacific cod | 212.1 | 56.9 | 26.8 | 0.4% |
| Blue crab | 209.4 | 19.6 | 649.2 | 10.2% |
| Dungeness crab | 186.1 | 48 | (1160.5) | −20.6% |
| Pacific halibut | 182.9 | 60.3 | 28.9 | 0.5% |
| Sablefish | 140 | 27.3 | 403.6 | 9.5% |
| Snow crab | 113 | 38.4 | (1549.8) | −45.3% |
| Chum salmon | 73.3 | 20.1 | (425.6) | −19.2% |
| California market squid | 58 | 22 | 205.7 | 11.7% |
| Chinook salmon | 51.8 | 15.1 | 24.3 | 1.5% |
| Yellowfin sole | 49.2 | 10.5 | (349) | −23.4% |
| Pacific hake | 46.6 | 17.9 | (78.5) | −5.6% |
| Ocean shrimp | 34.2 | 20.6 | (258.2) | −24.9% |
| Summer flounder | 31.3 | 3.6 | 82.4 | 8.7% |
| Longfin squid | 29.7 | 9.2 | 76 | 8.4% |
| Florida stone crab (claws) | 28.7 | 5 | (204.3) | −23.5% |
a
For the purposes of screening analysis, the ex-vessel prices are held constant. The projected change in the present value of ex-vessel revenues assumes that the catch of each species analyzed would increase or decrease over time in direct proportion to the projected change in the species’ available habitat.