Table 5.
Through Step 1 Model AUC = 68.8% |
Through Step 2 Model AUC = 75.7% |
Through Step 3 Model AUC = 80.8% |
Through Step 4 Model AUC = 83.2% |
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Predictors1 | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | P-value | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | P-value | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | P-value | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | P-value |
Step 1: Pre-arrest | ||||||||
Preexisting congenital heart disease | 0.18 (0.06, 0.55) | 0.003 | 0.19 (0.06, 0.61) | 0.005 | 0.21 (0.06, 0.70) | 0.01 | 0.16 (0.04, 0.60) | 0.007 |
Patient post-operative cardiac surgery | 4.20 (2.12, 8.32) | <.001 | 3.75 (1.84, 7.63) | <.001 | 4.05 (1.90, 8.62) | <.001 | 3.44 (1.59, 7.44) | 0.002 |
Step 2: At time of ROC | ||||||||
Estimated duration of chest compressions | 1.02 (1.01, 1.04) | 0.001 | 1.01 (1.00, 1.03) | 0.07 | 1.01 (0.99, 1.02) | 0.23 | ||
Step 3: Post-arrest, near interv ention start | ||||||||
Baseline Lactate2 (mmol/L) | 1.14 (1.06, 1.23) | <.001 | 1.15 (1.06, 1.24) | <0.001 | ||||
Step 4: Day 0–1 | ||||||||
Minimum percentile of gender/height-adjusted systolic blood pressure | 0.97 (0.95, 0.99) | 0.008 |
Predictors considered for logistic regression models: age, preexisting lung or airway disease, preexisting arrhythmia, preexisting congenital heart disease, preexisting renal condition, post-operative cardiac surgery, aetiology of arrest, doses of adrenaline, estimated duration of chest compressions, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) used, baseline lactate, packed red blood cells (PRBC) volum e (cc/kg) per day (day 0 and 1), minimum percentile of gender/height-adjusted systolic blood pressure, milrinone used (day 0 or 1), vasopressin used (day 0 or 1), adrenaline used (day 0 or 1), dopamine used (day 0 or 1), phenylephrine used (day 0 or 1).
First non-missing lactate value occurring ≤ 8 hours after randomization.