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. 2021 Feb 24;16(6):1673–1682. doi: 10.1007/s11739-021-02661-8

Table 1.

General characteristics of the study population and risk factors associated with COVID-19 emergency department return

Total population
[n = 109]
ED return due to COVID-19 [n = 21]
n (%)
ED no return
[n = 84]
n (%)
OR (95%CI) P value
Demographics
Age, years 50 (40—59.5) 52.0 (40.0–62.0) 51.2 (42.0–58.2)
 < 65 93 (85.3) 18 (85.7) 75 (89.2) 1 (ref)
 ≥ 65 16 (14.7) 3 (14.3) 9 (10.7) 0.96 (0.25–3.73) .955
Gender, %
Male 56 (52.3) 8 (38.1) 49 (58.3) 1(ref)
Female 53(47.7) 13 (61.9) 35 (41.7) 2.04 (0.77–5.42) .152
Long-term care resident 0.9 0.0
No 108 (99.1) 21(100) 84 (100) 1(ref)
Yes 1 (0.01) 0(0.0) 0 (0.0) NC -
Health professional %
No 91 (83.5) 14 (66.7) 74 (88.1) 1(ref)
Yes 18 (16.5) 7 (21.1) 10 (11.9) 3.50 (1.16–10.57) .026
Comorbidities
Hypertension
No 89 (81.7) 10 (47.6) 56 (66.7) 1(ref)
Yes 20 (18.3) 3 (14.3) 28 (33.3) 0.69 (0.18–2.64) .594
Type 2 diabetes
No 100 (91.7) 17 (81) 83 (98.8) 1(ref)
Yes 9 (8.3) 4 (19.0) 1 (1.2) 3.91 (0.95–16.07) .059
Body mass index, kg/m2 26.4 (22.9–29.3) 26.3 (24.5–30.4) 25.2 (24.6–29.6)
Obesity
No 83 (76.1) 15 (71.4) 68 (80.1) 1(ref)
Yes 26 (23.9) 6 (28.6) 16 (19.0) 1.36 (0.47–3.96) .573
Cardiovascular disease
No 100 (91.7) 18 (85.7) 82 (97.6) 1(ref)
Yes 9 (8.3) 3 (14.2) 2 (2.4) 2.22 (0.51–9.74) .289
Smoke
No 94 (86.2) 18 (85.7) 76 (90.5) 1(ref)
Yes 15 (13.9) 3 (14.2) 8 (9.5) 1.04 (026–4.08) .953
Chronic respiratory disease
No 90 (82.6) 18 (85.7) 72 (85.7) 1(ref)
Yes 19 (17.4) 3 (14.3) 12 (14.3) 0.73 (0.19–2.78) .643
Immunosuppression
No 104 (95.4) 19 (90.5) 81 (96.4) 1(ref)
Yes 5 (4.6) 2 (9.5) 3 (3.6)) 2.98 (0.46–19.10) .249
Charlson comorbidity index 1.0 (0.0–2.0) 1.0 (0.0–2.0) 1.0 (0.0–2.0)
Charlson index ≥ 1
No 46 (42.2) 6 (28.6) 40 (47.6) 1(ref)
Yes 63 (57.8) 15 (71.4) 44 (52.4) 2.08 (0.74–5.87) .165
10-year expected survival, %a 95.8 (77.4–98.3) 95.8 (83.7–98.1) 94.6 (84.5 – 99.1)
 > 96 40 (36.7) 6 (28.6) 34 (40.5) 1(ref)
 < 96 66 (60.6) 12 (57.1) 50 (59.5) 1.26 (0.43–3.67) .673
Clinical presentation
Clinical duration, daysb 7.00 (4.0–10.0) 6.5 (3.2–9.5) 7.8 (3.5 – 9.6)
 > 7 60 (55.0) 10 (47.6) 50 (59.5)
 < 7 48 (44.0) 11 (52.4) 34 (40.4) 1.32 (0.49–3.48) .580
Fever (temperature > 37.8 ºC)
No 39 (35.8) 10 (47.6) 29 (34.5) 1(ref)
Yes 70 (64.2) 11 (52.3) 55 (65.4) 0.54 (0.21–1.42) .212
Dry cough
No 39 (35.8) 8 (38.1) 31 (36.9) 1 (ref)
Yes 69 (63.9) 13 (11.9) 53 (63.1) 0.90 (0.34–2.41) .833
Wet cough
No 92 (84.4) 18 (85.7) 74 (88) 1 (ref)
Yes 17 (15.6) 3 (14.3) 10 (11.9) 0.88 (0.23–3.39) .854
Dyspnea
No 64 (58.7) 10 (47.6) 54 (64.3) 1 (ref)
Yes 45 (41.3) 11 (52.4) 30 (35.7) 1.75 (0.67–4.55) .254
Diarrhea
No 87 (79.8) 18 (85.7) 69 (82.1) 1 (ref)
Yes 22 (20.2) 3 (14.2) 15 (17.8) 0.61 (0.16–2.27) .457
Confusion
No 109 (100) 21 (100) 84 (100) 1 (ref)
Yes 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) NC -
Fatigue
No 80 (73.3) 16 (76.2) 64 (76.1) 1 (ref)
Yes 29 (26.6) 5 (23.8) 20 (23.8) 0.83 (0.27–2.52) .747
Myalgias-arthralgias
No 60 (55) 14 (66.7) 46 (54.7) 1 (ref)
Yes 49 (44.9) 7 (33.3) 38 (45.2) 0.55 (0.20–1.48) .237
Anosmia-dysgeusia
No 92 (84.4) 12 (57.1) 80 (95.2) 1 (ref)
Yes 17 (15.6) 2 (9.5) 4 (4.8) 0.51 (0.11–2.43) .401
Initial assessment
Room air oximetry, % 97.0 (96.0–99.0) 97.0 (95.5–99.5) 98.0 (95.8 – 99.6)
 > 97% 48 (44.0) 9 (42.8) 39 (46.4) 1 (ref)
 < 97% 61 (55.9) 12 (57.1) 45 (53.6) 1.06 (0.41–2.77) .904
PaO2/FiO2 448.0 (390.0–471.0) 454.9 (397.5–478.4) 458.9 (392.4 – 478.5)
 > 448 73 (67) 7 (33.3) 66 (78.6) 1 (ref)
 < 448 36 (33.0) 5 (23.8) 18 (21.4) 0.62 (0.12–3.19) .575
Respiratory rate, breaths/min 14.0 (12.0–16.0) 15.0 (13.0–16.0) 14.5 (12.4 – 15.3)
 < 14 44 (40.4) 5 (23.8) 38 (45.2) 1 (ref)
 > 14 65 (59.6) 16 (76.2) 46 (54.8) 2.48 (0.83–7.38) .102
Systolic BP, mmHg 137.5 (124.0–151.0) 137.0 (122.0–141.5) 132.3 (123.4 – 138.7)
 > 137 55 (50.5) 10 (47.6) 45 (53.6) 1 (ref)
 < 137 54 (49.5) 11 (52.3) 39 (46.4) 1.10 (0.42–2.85) .845
Diastolic BP, mmHg 87.0 (75.0–98.0) 80.0 (71.5–84.5) 78.2 (71.3 – 82.2)
 > 87 51 (46.7) 3 (14.2) 48 (57.1) 1 (ref)
 < 87 56 (51.3) 18 (85.7) 36 (42.9) 7.57 (2.07–27.65) .002
Heart rate, bpm 95 (86.0–103.0) 90.0 (81.5–99.5) 83 (81.2 – 102. 5)
 > 95 52 (47.7) 6 (28.6) 46 (54.8) 1 (ref)
 < 95 57 (52.2) 15 (71.4) 38 (45.2) 1.79 (0.62–5.19) .278
Laboratory data
eGFR, ml/min/m2 90.0 (83.6–90.0) 90.0 (79.0–90.0) 90.0 (82.4 – 90.09
 > 60 105 (96.3) 19 (90.4) 82 (97.6) 1 (ref)
 < 60 4 (3.7) 2 (9.5) 2 (2.4) 4.36 (0.57–33.01) .153
Creatine phosphokinase, U/L 81.0 (55.0–121.0) 82.0 (47.0–141.0) 81.1 (60.2–140.4)
 < 121 79 (72.4) 14 (66.7) 65 (77.4) 1 (ref)
 > 121 28 (25.7) 7 (33.3) 19 (22.6) 1.54 (0.55–4.34) .407
Troponin T, ng/L 6.0 (5.0–7.0) 5.5(5.0–12.5) 5.2 (5.0 – 7.2)
 < 7 77 (70.6) 12 (4.8) 65 (77.4) 1 (ref)
 > 7 37 (33.9) 8 (38.1) 19 (22.6) 1.26 (0.46–3.44) .646
Alanine aminotransferase, U/L 21.0 (15.0–32.5) 21.0 (13.0–36.5) 16.6 (14.2 – 34.3)
 < 30 78 (71.5) 15 (71.4) 53 (63) 1 (ref)
 > 30 31 (28.4) 6 (28.5) 31 (36.9) 1.01 (0.35–2.89) .988
Aspartate aminotransferase, U/L 24.0 (19.0–30.0) 24.0 (19.5–28.5) 22 (19.8 – 27.4)
 < 30 78 (71.6) 17 (81) 61 (72.6) 1 (ref)
 > 30 31 (28.4) 4 (19.0) 23 (27.4) 0.53 (0.16–1.72) .294
Brain natriuretic peptide, pg/mL 36.5 (19.0–83.0) 38.0 (23.0–64.2) 35.2 (21.3 – 80.3)
 < 83 75 (68.9) 16 (76.2) 59 (70.2) 1 (ref)
 > 83 27 (24.8) 4 (19.0) 25 (29.8) 0.64 (0.19–2.12) .467
C-reactive protein, mg/dL 0.80 (0.19–3.16) 0.5 (0.1–2.5) 0.4 (0.2 – 0.8)
 < 3 82 (75.2) 17 (80.9) 65 (77.4) 1 (ref)
 > 3 27 (24.8) 4 (19.0) 19 (22.6) 0.52 (0.11–2.53) .420
Procalcitonin, ng/mL 0.040 (0.03–0.06) 0.045 (0.03–0.07) 0.04 (0.03 – 0.05)
 < 0.06 36 (33.0) 8 (38.1) 28 (33.3) 1 (ref)
 > 0.06 68 (62.3) 12 (57.4) 56 (66.7) 0.75 (0.27–2.04) .574
Lactate dehydrogenase, U/L 203.0 (172.0–232.0) 201.0 (173.5–221.5) 180.4 (173.4 -223.4)
 < 232 79 (72.5) 19 (90.5) 60 (71.4) 1 (ref)
 > 232 28 (25.7) 2 (9.5) 24 (28.6) 0.24 (0.05–1.12) .070
D-dimers, ng/mL 0.38 (0.23–0.61) 0.34 (0.25–0.54) 0.2 (0.1 – 0.5)
 < 0.6 77 (70.1) 17 (80.9) 60 (71.4) 1 (ref)
 > 0.6 28 (25.7) 4 (19.0) 24 (28.6) 0.58 (0.17–1.92) .381
Leukocytes, per mm3 7000.0 (5505.0–8430.0) 6460.0 (5040.0–8375.0) 6890 (5038 – 7896.4)
 < 8430 82 (75.2) 17 (80.9) 65 (77.4) 1 (ref)
 > 8430 27 (24.8) 4 (19.0) 19 (22.6) 0.66 (0.20–2.18) .501
Lymphocytes, per mm3 1750.0 (1210.0–2360.0) 1500.0 (1075.0–1895.0) 1345.2 (1080.2 -2320.4)
 > 1210 82 (75.2) 15 (71.4) 67 (79.8) 1 (ref)
 < 1210 27 (24.8) 6 (28.6) 17 (20.2) 1.27 (0.44–3.71) .654
Ferritin, μg/L 211.0 (106.2–456.7) 220.5 (59.7–532.2) 210.4 (140.5 -350.6
 < 450 32 (29.4) 9 (42.9) 23 (27.4) 1 (ref)
 > 450 10 (9.2) 3 (14.3) 61 (72.6) 1.09 (0.23–5.19) .909
Pneumonia features
Bilateral pneumonia
No 40 (36.7) 6 (28.5) 34 (40.5) 1 (ref)
Yes 69 (63.3) 15 (71.4) 50 (59.5) 1.57 (0.55–4.45) .392
CURB65 score ≥ 1
No 84 (77.1) 16 (76.2) 68 (80.9) 1 (ref)
Yes 21 (19.3) 5 (23.8) 16 (19.0) 1.32 (0.42–4.16) .626
Outpatient therapy
Azithromycin
No 21 (19.3) 5 (23.8) 16 (19.0) 1 (ref)
Yes 87 (79.8) 16 (76.2) 68 (80.9) 0.72 (0.23–2.25) .574
Another antibiotic
No 74 (67.9) 18 (85.7) 56 (66.7)
Yes 35 (32.1) 3 (14.3) 28 (33.3) 0.28 (0.08–1.05) .059

Data shown as median (p25-75), % (Risk Factor Present) unless otherwise specified; number of patients who returned / total number (%). “P” in bold, statistically significant differences. a10-year expected survival derived from Charlson comorbidity index score. bDays of symptoms before admission

Continuous covariates were categorized based on their median levels, except laboratory parameters that were categorized regarding their 75-percentiles, to show the impact of severe, extreme values in the outcomes – except for those in which severity is defined by lowest levels, such as lymphocyte counts, where 25-percentiles were used. For the following variables, standard categorizations were followed: age ≥ 65 years, Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 3, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, by CKD-EPI formula) < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, and CURB65 ≥ 1

BP, blood pressure; CURB65, Severity Score for Community-Acquired Pneumonia; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate (by CKD-EPI formula). Outpatient therapy also included hydroxychloroquine, amoxicillin, other antibiotics, without impact on return to emergency department (data not reported)