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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Sex Transm Dis. 2020 Jul;47(7):484–490. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001189

TABLE 1.

Infection and Case Prevalence by Screening Scenario, Level*, and Race

Site Level (1) Increase Both Rectal/Pharyngeal Screening (2) Increase Only Rectal Screening (3) Increase Only Pharyngeal Screening
Black MSM White MSM Black MSM White MSM Black MSM White MSM
Infections: mean (95% CI)
Urogenital 37.5% 3.0 (3.0–3.1) 1.4 (1.3–1.4) 3.0 (3.0–3.1) 1.4 (1.3–1.4) 3.0 (3.0–3.1) 1.4 (1.3–1.4)
60% 2.5 (2.5–2.6) 1.1 (1.0–1.1) 2.6 (2.5–2.7) 1.1 (1.1–1.2) 2.8 (2.7–2.8) 1.2 (1.2–1.3)
80% 2.1 (2.0–2.1) 0.9 (0.8–0.9) 2.3 (2.2–2.4) 1.0 (0.9–1.0) 2.6 (2.5–2.6) 1.1 (1.1–1.2)
100% 1.8 (1.7–1.9) 0.7 (0.7–0.8) 2.0 (1.9–2.1) 0.8 (0.8–0.9) 2.4 (2.3–2.5) 1.0 (1.0–1.0)
Rectal 37.5% 6.1 (6.0–6.3) 3.2 (3.1–3.3) 6.1 (6.0–6.3) 3.2 (3.1–3.3) 6.1 (6.0–6.3) 3.2 (3.1–3.3)
60% 5.0 (4.9–5.2) 2.4 (2.4–2.5) 5.2 (5.1–5.3) 2.6 (2.5–2.7) 5.6 (5.5–5.7) 2.9 (2.8–2.9)
80% 4.1 (4.0–4.2) 1.9 (1.9–2.0) 4.6 (4.4–4.7) 2.1 (2.1–2.2) 5.2 (5.0–5.3) 2.6 (2.5–2.7)
100% 3.5 (3.4–3.7) 1.6 (1.5–1.7) 3.9 (3.8–4.0) 1.8 (1.8–1.9) 4.8 (4.7–4.9) 2.3 (2.2–2.4)
Pharyngeal 37.5% 7.3 (7.1–7.4) 4.1 (4.0–4.2) 7.3 (7.1–7.4) 4.1 (4.0–4.2) 7.3 (7.1–7.4) 4.1 (4.0–4.2)
60% 6.0 (5.9–6.2) 3.2 (3.1–3.3) 6.3 (6.2–6.5) 3.5 (3.4–3.6) 6.6 (6.4–6.7) 3.7 (3.6–3.8)
80% 4.9 (4.8–5.0) 2.5 (2.5–2.6) 5.6 (5.5–5.8) 2.9 (2.8–3.0) 6.0 (5.9–6.1) 3.3 (3.2–3.4)
100% 4.2 (4.1–4.4) 2.1 (2.0–2.2) 4.9 (4.7–5.0) 2.6 (2.5–2.6) 5.5 (5.4–5.7) 2.9 (2.8–3.0)
Cases: mean (95% CI)
Overall 37.5% b 12.8 (12.5–13.0) 7.0 (6.9–7.2) 12.8 (12.5–13.0) 7.0 (6.9–7.2) 12.8 (12.5–13.0) 7.0 (6.9–7.2)
60% 10.6 (10.3–10.8) 5.4 (5.3–5.6) 11.0 (10.7–11.2) 5.9 (5.7–6.0) 11.6 (11.3–11.8) 6.3 (6.1–6.4)
80% 8.6 (8.4–8.9) 4.3 (4.2–4.5) 9.7 (9.5–10.0) 4.9 (4.8–5.0) 10.7 (10.4–10.9) 5.7 (5.5–5.8)
100% 7.4 (7.2–7.7) 3.6 (3.5–3.7) 8.4 (8.2–8.6) 4.2 (4.1–4.4) 9.9 (9.6–10.1) 5.0 (4.9–5.2)
*

Extragenital screening level among men already being urogenitally screened.

37.5% is the baseline screening level.