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. 2021 Feb 25;36(2):179–196. doi: 10.1007/s10654-021-00727-7

Fig. 7.

Fig. 7

Illustration of index case misclassification where the index and secondary cases are misclassified in a household scenario. In this scenario (top left), each individual has close contacts with every other household member, and the red arrows indicate infections transmitted by the true index case (red individual) to other household members. The true SAR is shown in the top right; the infected contacts of the true index are in the numerator and all contacts are in the denominator. Index case misclassification can happen if one of the secondary cases of the index is falsely identified as the index case (yellow individual). This may cause no bias in the estimation of the SAR value; however, the interpretation of this SAR may be incorrect because we mistakenly attribute the SAR to the false index case, who may have different characteristics, such as age, from the true index case. It can also introduce downward bias if the true index is no longer detected by PCR by the time they are tested (bottom right)