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. 2021 Feb 25;16(2):e0247726. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247726

Table 1. Performance measures of the forecasts.

Three-day forecast Seven-day forecast Fourteen-day forecast
MAE Forecast on Harvey Logistic Gompertz Harvey Logistic Gompertz Harvey Logistic Gompertz
March 16 25.01 136.05 17.73 92.38 310.29 27.38 321.40 632.94 187.56
March 18 42.71 127.26 30.59 123.52 256.38 100.44 372.73 459.71 386.97
March 20 49.88 64.56 102.62 104.56 149.52 225.19 291.22 244.38 610.40
March 22 22.62 77.86 111.32 63.52 124.94 259.30 164.29 150.28 525.21
Average 35.06 101.43 65.57 95.99 210.28 153.07 287.41 371.83 427.54
Harvey Logistic Gompertz Harvey Logistic Gompertz Harvey Logistic Gompertz
MAPE March 16 1.13 5.83 0.76 3.24 11.06 0.97 8.96 18.43 5.09
March 18 1.56 4.75 1.14 3.87 8.18 3.14 9.93 12.67 10.21
March 20 1.64 2.11 3.38 3.03 4.34 6.52 7.51 6.45 15.76
March 22 0.66 2.31 3.30 1.71 3.42 7.02 4.17 3.93 13.41
Average 1.25 3.75 2.14 2.96 6.75 4.41 7.64 10.37 11.12
Harvey Logistic Gompertz Harvey Logistic Gompertz Harvey Logistic Gompertz
RMSE March 16 26.72 155.82 22.34 116.30 359.17 36.65 423.22 729.36 279.11
March 18 51.59 133.08 32.58 149.67 289.12 126.01 473.91 514.70 516.53
March 20 53.46 72.34 108.36 124.43 169.85 263.69 367.20 268.43 761.14
March 22 27.08 82.37 122.34 77.34 135.10 300.21 213.80 158.70 636.35
Average 39.71 110.90 71.41 116.94 238.31 181.64 369.53 417.80 548.28