Table 2.
Comparison of performance in test stage on nine selected countries.
| Model | BI | DI | Lag | MAPE | R 2 score | RMSE | NRMSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RF | ∗ | 2.34 | 0.99119 | 19497 | 0.069109 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | 2.6 | 0.98764 | 23103 | 0.081891 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗ | 2.7 | 0.98741 | 23308 | 0.082617 | |
| MLP | ∗ | 1.32 | 0.99422 | 499 | 0.001769 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | 1.7 | 0.99348 | 530 | 0.001879 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗ | 1.54 | 0.99380 | 517 | 0.001833 | |
| LSTM-R | ∗ | 2.260 | 0.98088 | 3242.91 | 0.011495 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | 2.032 | 0.98185 | 1065.41 | 0.003776 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗ | 2.025 | 0.99023 | 1032.34 | 0.003659 | |
| LSTM-E | ∗∗ | 1.213 | 0.99521 | 750.60 | 0.002661 | ||
| ∗ | ∗∗ | 1.251 | 0.99671 | 610.86 | 0.002165 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.911 | 0.99832 | 580.41 | 0.002057 | |
| M-LSTM | ∗∗ | 0.726 | 0.99884 | 530.74 | 0.001881 | ||
| ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.550 | 0.99981 | 490.17 | 0.001737 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.509 | 0.99997 | 458.12 | 0.001624 |
∗ represents only confirmed cases as input and ∗∗ shows the confirmed cases along with death and recovered cases. BI: basic information; DI: detailed information. The performance is evaluated on confirmed cases as output.