Table 4.
Comparison of performance in test stage on nine selected countries.
| Model | BI | DI | Lag | MAPE | R 2 | RMSE | NRMSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RF | ∗ | 2.069 | 0.980306 | 2823 | 0.001057 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | 2.557 | 0.979987 | 3012 | 0.001128 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗ | 2.580 | 0.979985 | 4620 | 0.00173 | |
| MLP | ∗ | 0.337 | 0.999989 | 1059 | 0.000397 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | 1.686 | 0.980184 | 4634 | 0.001735 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗ | 0.786 | 0.989893 | 3046 | 0.001141 | |
| LSTM-R | ∗ | 2.030 | 0.980005 | 4963 | 0.0018658 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | 1.941 | 0.980102 | 4702 | 0.001761 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗ | 1.536 | 0.986131 | 4369 | 0.001636 | |
| LSTM-E | ∗∗ | 0.547 | 0.989981 | 1784 | 0.000668 | ||
| ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.853 | 0.989634 | 2921 | 0.001093 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.624 | 0.989972 | 1991 | 0.000745 | |
| M-LSTM | ∗∗ | 0.302 | 0.999991 | 1000 | 0.000374 | ||
| ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.132 | 0.999997 | 621 | 0.000232 | ||
| ∗ | ∗ | ∗∗ | 0.073 | 0.999999 | 210 | 0.0000786 |
∗ represents only recovered cases as input and ∗∗ shows the confirmed cases along with death and recovered cases. BI: basic information; DI: detailed information. The performance is evaluated on recovered cases as output.