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. 2021 Feb 25;76(9):920–929. doi: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-216001

Table 3.

Predictive model for 30-day mortality at presentation in hospitalised patients with COVID-19

Predictor variable Coefficient SE OR (95% CI) p>z
Age <0.001
 40–49 years 0.082 0.446 1.09 (0.45 to 2.6)
 50–54 years 0.471 0.448 1.60 (0.67 to 3.86)
 55–59 years 1.058 0.412 2.88 (1.28 to 6.46)
 60–64 years 1.228 0.394 3.42 (1.58 to 7.4)
 65–69 years 1.655 0.381 5.23 (2.48 to 11.04)
 70–74 years 1.772 0.372 5.88 (2.84 to 12.21)
 75–79 years 2.268 0.373 9.66 (4.65 to 20.07)
 80–84 years 2.695 0.377 14.8 (7.08 to 30.96)
 85–89 years 2.803 0.379 16.49 (7.84 to 34.67)
>90 years 3.103 0.397 22.26 (10.22 to 48.48)
Low age adjusted SaO2 0.875 0.102 2.40 (1.97 to 2.93) <0.001
Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio <0.001
 3.22–6.33 0.173 0.123 1.19 (0.93 to 1.51)
 >6.33 0.657 0.119 1.93 (1.53 to 2.44)
eGFR (CKD-EPI) <0.001
 30–59 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.498 0.109 1.65 (1.33 to 2.04)
 <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 1.093 0.176 2.98 (2.11 to 4.21)
Dyspnoea 0.414 0.097 1.51 (1.25 to 1.83) <0.001
Male sex 0.466 0.098 1.59 (1.31 to 1.93) <0.001
Intercept −4.266 0.360

CKD-PI, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate calculated by the CKD-EPI; SaO2, oxygen saturation.