Table 4.
Estimate | p-Value | Estimate | p-Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
β 0 | 0.25239807 | <0.001 | 241.912633 | <0.001 |
φ | 18.66057736 | <0.001 | 19.024919 | <0.001 |
λ 0 | 196.63534702 | <0.001 | 284.386081 | <0.001 |
m | 0.98828594 | <0.001 | −1.734960 | <0.001 |
k | 0.99949887 | <0.001 | −0.085439 | <0.001 |
AIC | 6,980,073 | 6,959,144 |
Note: β0: the initial constant in the function of time-varying transmission rate; φ: the average unreported infection rate; λ0: the initial constant in the function of time-varying recovery/mortality rate; m,k: the estimated constant in power/exponential functions of the time variable; AIC: model fitness based on Akaike information criterion.