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. 2021 Jan 26;18(3):1090. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18031090

Table 4.

Time-varying TR and RDR estimated by Equation (17).

gt=mt , ht=kt gt=tm,  ht=tk
Estimate p-Value Estimate p-Value
β 0 0.25239807 <0.001 241.912633 <0.001
φ 18.66057736 <0.001 19.024919 <0.001
λ 0 196.63534702 <0.001 284.386081 <0.001
m 0.98828594 <0.001 −1.734960 <0.001
k 0.99949887 <0.001 −0.085439 <0.001
AIC 6,980,073 6,959,144

Note: β0: the initial constant in the function of time-varying transmission rate; φ: the average unreported infection rate; λ0: the initial constant in the function of time-varying recovery/mortality rate; m,k: the estimated constant in power/exponential functions of the time variable; AIC: model fitness based on Akaike information criterion.