Table 5.
Estimate | p-Value | Estimate | p-Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
β ′ 0 | 0.2507 | <0.001 | 40.1660 | <0.001 |
φ 0 | 15.2287 | <0.001 | 0.0109 | <0.001 |
λ 0 | 143.4179 | <0.001 | 0.0001 | <0.001 |
m | 0.9838 | <0.001 | −2.6890 | <0.001 |
n | 1.0018 | <0.001 | 1.2555 | <0.001 |
k | 1.0013 | <0.001 | 2.6687 | <0.001 |
AIC | 6,969,888 | 6,813,832 |
Note: β’0: the initial constant in the time-varying function of the transmission rate and the unreported rate of new reported infections; φ0: the initial constant in the time-varying function of the unreported rate of cumulative reported infections; λ0: the initial constant in the function of time-varying recovery/mortality rate; m,n,k: the estimated constants in power/exponential functions of the time variable; AIC: model fitness based on Akaike information criterion.