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. 2021 Jan 26;18(3):1090. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18031090

Table 5.

Time-varying UIR and RDR estimated by Equation (18).

gt=mt , ft=nt , ht=kt(E.1) gt=tm , ft=tn , ht=tk(E.2)
Estimate p-Value Estimate p-Value
β 0 0.2507 <0.001 40.1660 <0.001
φ 0 15.2287 <0.001 0.0109 <0.001
λ 0 143.4179 <0.001 0.0001 <0.001
m 0.9838 <0.001 −2.6890 <0.001
n 1.0018 <0.001 1.2555 <0.001
k 1.0013 <0.001 2.6687 <0.001
AIC 6,969,888 6,813,832

Note: β0: the initial constant in the time-varying function of the transmission rate and the unreported rate of new reported infections; φ0: the initial constant in the time-varying function of the unreported rate of cumulative reported infections; λ0: the initial constant in the function of time-varying recovery/mortality rate; m,n,k: the estimated constants in power/exponential functions of the time variable; AIC: model fitness based on Akaike information criterion.