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. 2021 Feb 26;4(2):e210218. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.0218

Table 5. Hazard Functions in Cumulative Percentages (and 95% CIs) for Age of Cigarette Initiation Outcomes by Race/Ethnicitya.

Age, y % (95% CI)
Non-Hispanic White Hispanic Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic otherb
Onset of susceptibility cigarette use
12 0 0 0 0
13 12.7 (11.6-13.8) 10.1 (8.6-11.5) 10.6 (8.3-12.9) 15.0 (12.4-17.5)
14 19.1 (17.7-20.5) 17.6 (15.7-19.5) 15.9 (13.5-18.2) 19.3 (16.2-22.4)
15 25.9 (24.2-27.7) 25.7 (23.4-28.1) 20.6 (17.9-23.2) 27.1 (23.1-31.0)
16 32.1 (30.2-33.9) 30.8 (28.6-33.0) 26.5 (23.3-29.6) 33.5 (29.2-37.8)
17 41.3 (38.8-43.8) 41.4 (38.8-44.0) 32.5 (28.8-36.2) 41.4 (35.5-47.4)
18 46.0 (43.2-48.8) 49.3 (46.2-52.5) 39.2 (34.7-43.8) 49.9 (44.0-55.8)
19 49.1 (46.2-52.1) 53.8 (50.1-57.6) 44.4 (38.0-50.8) 55.9 (46.9-64.9)
20 57.1 (46.6-67.6) 61.1 (50.2-71.9) NA 56.6 (41.6-71.6)
21 NA 63.8 (46.8-80.9) NA NA
Initiation of ever cigarette use
12 0 0 0 0
13 1.4 (1.2-1.8) 0.9 (0.6-1.3) 1.4 (0.6-1.9) 1.1 (0.5-1.8)
14 3.3 (2.8-3.8) 2.5 (1.8-3.2) 2.3 (1.4-3.2) 2.4 (1.6-3.3)
15 6.0 (5.3-6.6) 5.0 (4.1-5.8) 3.5 (2.4-4.6) 4.3 (2.9-5.7)
16 10.1 (9.1-11.1) 8.1 (6.7-9.5) 5.0 (3.8-6.3) 6.8 (5.1-8.4)
17 17.1 (15.7-18.6) 16.9 (15.0-18.9) 9.5 (7.4-11.6) 11.7 (9.1-14.3)
18 26.2 (24.1-28.3) 25.4 (22.4-28.4) 19.2 (16.2-22.2) 20.8 (15.8-25.7)
19 33.4 (30.0-36.8) 33.0 (29.1-36.9) 21.3 (17.9-24.8) 28.9 (20.8-37.0)
20 33.4 (28.1-38.7) NA 26.1 (13.2-39.1) 36.5 (14.9-58.1)
Initiation of past 30-d cigarette use
12 0 0 0 0
13 0.6 (0.4-0.7) 0.3 (0.1-0.5) 0.3 (0.1-0.7) 0.7 (0.3-1.1)
14 1.4 (1.0-1.8) 0.9 (0.5-1.2) 0.7 (0.2-1.2) 1.4 (0.7-2.1)
15 2.8 (2.3-3.2) 1.9 (1.3-2.5) 1.2 (0.6-1.8) 2.4 (1.4-3.5)
16 5.1 (4.4-5.8) 3.9 (3.0-4.8) 2.5 (1.5-3.5) 3.6 (2.5-4.7)
17 10.5 (9.3-11.7) 9.4 (7.8-10.9) 6.1 (4.3-7.9) 6.7 (4.5-8.9)
18 17.8 (16.2-19.4) 16.1 (13.5-18.7) 14.3 (11.7-17.0) 14.4 (9.8-17.1)
19 21.8 (19.5-24.0) 19.5 (16.2-22.8) 18.7 (13.0-24.3) 21.4 (15.1-27.7)
20 30.0 (22.0-39.8) 23.0 (12.4-33.6) 18.7 (13.4-24.0) 24.9 (7.5-42.4)
21 30.0 (20.5-39.6) NA NA NA
Initiation of fairly regular cigarette use
12 0 0 0 0
13 0.3 (0.1-0.5) 0.2 (0.1-0.4) 0.2 (0.0-0.3) 0.3 (0.1-0.6)
14 0.8 (0.6-1.0) 0.5 (0.2-0.7) 0.2 (0.0-0.4) 0.7 (0.1-1.3)
15 1.8 (1-4-2.1) 0.9 (0.5-1.3) 0.2 (0.0-0.5) 1.1 (0.3-1.9)
16 3.1 (2.6-3.6) 1.9 (1.3-2.5) 1.0 (0.4-1.6) 1.8 (1.2-2.6)
17 4.5 (3.7-5.2) 2.7 (1.7-3.6) 1.1 (0.5-1.7) 2.5 (1.5-3.4)
18 5.4 (4.8-6.2) 3.9 (2.6-5.3) 1.8 (0.8-2.7) 3.3 (2.1-4.6)
19 6.9 (5.3-8.6) 6.4 (3.4-9.4) NA 4.4 (2.2-6.6)
20 8.1 (5.6-10.6) 9.9 (1.4-18.5) NA 10.7 (0-25.2)

Abbreviation: NA, not available.

a

Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study data reprinted with permission from the United States Department of Health and Human Services.18 Restricted file received disclosure to publish: February 10, 2020; February 17, 2020; February 28, 2020; March 06, 2020; May 01, 2020.

b

Non-Hispanic other indicates non-Hispanic Asian participants, multirace/ethnicity, etc.