Table 3.
Contingency tables of true and predicted* flare status in cross-validation test folds of the stacking meta-classifier model
| Fold-1 | Predicted flare status | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| No | Yes | ||
| Observed flare status | No | 15 | 4 |
| Yes | 1 | 7 | |
| Fold-2 | Predicted flare status | ||
| No | Yes | ||
| Observed flare status | No | 21 | 0 |
| Yes | 1 | 5 | |
| Fold-3 | Predicted flare status | ||
| No | Yes | ||
| Observed flare status | No | 15 | 7 |
| Yes | 1 | 4 | |
| Fold-4 | Predicted flare status | ||
| No | Yes | ||
| Observed flare status | No | 19 | 3 |
| Yes | 1 | 4 | |
| Fold-5 | Predicted flare status | ||
| No | Yes | ||
| Observed flare status | No | 19 | 1 |
| Yes | 3 | 4 | |
*Binary predictions based on predicted risk threshold selected using Youden’s index in each fold