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. 2021 Jan 31;11:04005. doi: 10.7189/jogh.11.04005

Table 3.

Longitudinal association between age-standardised prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus and socioeconomic, lifestyle and health indicators in 139 countries from 1990 to 2017

Model* Standardised fixed effects† SE P-value
(Intercept)
6069.5
139.6
<0.0001
Aging rate (%)
165.9
46.9
0.0004
Gross domestic product (US$1000/capita)
34.0
14.6
0.0197
Age-standardised education (year)
-524.5
109.9
<0.0001
Mean systolic blood pressure (mmHg)
133.7
23.6
<0.0001
Age-standardised smoking prevalence (%)
51.1
30.7
0.0960
Age-standardised total physical activity (MET-min/week/1000)
-514.8
95.6
<0.0001
Mean body mass index (kg/m2)
398.8
45.8
<0.0001
Year 396.5 36.8 <0.0001

MET – metabolic equivalent, SE – standard error

*A generalised linear mixed-effects model was used with random intercept by country and random slope by year. The model was selected using the backward stepwise selection method, and energy and alcohol supply were excluded.

†Standardised independent variables (mean, 0; standard deviation, 1) were used in the analysis.