| Probability Calculation | Prior Probability | Conditional Probability |
| P (S0) | P (E0 = P) = 0.40, P (E0 = N) = 0.60 P (M0 = T) = 0.90, P (M0 = F) = 0.10 |
P (S0 = T|E0 = P, M0 = T) = 0.65 P (S0 = T|E0 = P, M0 = F) = 0.70 P (S0 = T|E0 = N, M0 = T) = 0.68 P (S0 = T|E0 = N, M0 = F) = 0.75 |
| P (S1) | P (E1 = P) = 0.32, P (E1 = N) = 0.68 P (M1 = T) = 0.75, P (M1 = F) = 0.25 |
P (S1 = T| S0 = T, E1 = P, M1 = T) = 0.70 P (S1 = T| S0 = T, E1 = P, M1 = F) = 0.80 P (S1 = T| S0 = T, E1 = N, M1 = T) = 0.80 P (S1 = T| S0 = T, E1 = N, M1 = F) = 0.50 P (S1 = T| S0 = F, E1 = P, M1 = T) = 0.75 P (S1 = T| S0 = F, E1 = P, M1 = F) = 0.60 P (S1 = T| S0 = F, E1 = N, M1 = T) = 0.70 P (S1 = T| S0 = F, E1 = N, M1 = F) = 0.65 |
| P (S2) | P (E2 = P) = 0.40, P (E2 = N) = 0.60 P (M2 = T) = 0.85, P (M2 = F) = 0.15 |
P (S2 = T| S1 = T, E2 = P, M2 = T) = 0.80 P (S2 = T| S1 = T, E2 = P, M2 = F) = 0.85 P (S2 = T| S1 = T, E2 = N, M2 = T) = 0.76 P (S2 = T| S1 = T, E2 = N, M2 = F) = 0.73 P (S2 = T| S1 = F, E2 = P, M2 = T) = 0.54 P (S2 = T| S1 = F, E2 = P, M2 = F) = 0.64 P (S2 = T| S1 = F, E2 = N, M2 = T) = 0.70 P (S2 = T| S1 = F, E2 = N, M2 = F) = 0.72 |
| P (S3) | / | P (S3 = T|S2 = T) = 0.25 P (S3 = T|S2 = F) = 0.80 |
| P (S4) | P (E4 = P) = 0.30, P (E4 = N) = 0.70 P (M4 = T) = 0.85, P (M4 = F) = 0.15 |
P (S4 = T| S2 = T, E4 = P, M4 = T) = 0.78 P (S4 = T| S2 = T, E4 = P, M4 = F) = 0.72 P (S4 = T| S2 = T, E4 = N, M4 = T) = 0.80 P (S4 = T| S2 = T, E4 = N, M4 = F) = 0.65 P (S4 = T| S2 = F, E4 = P, M4 = T) = 0.70 P (S4 = T| S2 = F, E4 = P, M4 = F) = 0.60 P (S4 = T| S2 = F, E4 = N, M4 = T) = 0.75 P (S4 = T| S2 = F, E4 = N, M4 = F) = 0.80 |
| P (S5) | / | P (S5 = T|S4 = T) = 0.60 P (S5 = T|S4 = F) = 0.60 |
| P (S6) | P (E6 = P) = 0.45, P (E6 = N) = 0.55 P (M6 = T) = 0.88, P (M6 = F) = 0.12 |
P (S6 = T| S4 = T, E6 = P, M6 = T) = 0.79 P (S6 = T| S4 = T, E6 = P, M6 = F) = 0.75 P (S6 = T| S4 = T, E6 = N, M6 = T) = 0.80 P (S6 = T| S4 = T, E6 = N, M6 = F) = 0.85 P (S6 = F| S4 = F, E6 = P, M6 = T) = 0.78 P (S6 = T| S4 = F, E6 = P, M6 = F) = 0.90 P (S6 = T| S4 = F, E6 = N, M6 = T) = 0.80 P (S6 = T| S4 = F, E6 = N, M6 = F) = 0.82 |
| P (S7) | P (E7 = P) = 0.65, P (E7 = N) = 0.35 P (M7 = T) = 0.72, P (M7 = F) = 0.28 |
P (S7 = T| S6 = T, E7 = P, M7 = T) = 0.78 P (S7 = T| S6 = T, E7 = P, M7 = F) = 0.85 P (S7 = T| S6 = T, E7 = N, M7 = T) = 0.90 P (S7 = T| S6 = T, E7 = N, M7 = F) = 0.93 P (S7 = T| S6 = F, E7 = P, M7 = T) = 0.84 P (S7 = T| S6 = F, E7 = P, M7 = F) = 0.80 P (S7 = T| S6 = F, E7 = N, M7 = T) = 0.81 P (S7 = T| S6 = F, E7 = N, M7 = F) = 0.87 |
| P (S8) | / | P (S5 = T|S4 = T) = 0.90 P (S5 = T|S4 = F) = 0.85 |