Table 2.

Top counties by mortality rate for New Jersey (actuals vs model prediction). Both actual values and modeled predictions indicate that most of these counties had high mortality rates relative to other counties within the state (exception marked with “a”).

New Jersey county	Deaths per 100,000 people (5/8 actuals), n	Deaths per 100,000 people (5/8 model), n
Hudson	140	139
Passaic	143	126
Bergen	143	121
Union	152	116
Essex	175	101
Middlesex	91	93
Hunterdon	35a	93
Somerset	100	88
Morris	103	88

^aIndicates low mortality rate relative to all other counties within the state.