Table 2.
The forecast values (95% CI) according to fitted models of VLH cases for the period from January 2020 to December 2021
| Events | Months | Forecast values | Lower values | Upper values |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New cases | Jan 2020 | 0.47 | 0.24 | 0.94 |
| Feb 2020 | 0.56 | 0.21 | 1.50 | |
| Mar 2020 | 0.59 | 0.19 | 1.80 | |
| Apr 2020 | 0.54 | 0.17 | 1.70 | |
| May 2020 | 0.52 | 0.17 | 1.65 | |
| Jun 2020 | 0.53 | 0.17 | 1.70 | |
| Jul 2020 | 0.56 | 0.17 | 1.86 | |
| Aug 2020 | 0.59 | 0.17 | 2.02 | |
| Sep 2020 | 0.59 | 0.17 | 2.10 | |
| Oct 2020 | 0.59 | 0.16 | 2.13 | |
| Nov 2020 | 0.59 | 0.16 | 2.16 | |
| Dec 2020 | 0.59 | 0.16 | 2.22 | |
| Jan 2021 | 0.60 | 0.16 | 2.30 | |
| Feb 2021 | 0.61 | 0.16 | 2.38 | |
| Mar 2021 | 0.61 | 0.15 | 2.45 | |
| Apr 2021 | 0.62 | 0.15 | 2.51 | |
| May 2021 | 0.62 | 0.15 | 2.56 | |
| Jun 2021 | 0.63 | 0.15 | 2.63 | |
| Jul 2021 | 0.63 | 0.15 | 2.69 | |
| Aug 2021 | 0.64 | 0.15 | 2.76 | |
| Sep 2021 | 0.64 | 0.15 | 2.83 | |
| Oct 2021 | 0.65 | 0.14 | 2.89 | |
| Nov 2021 | 0.65 | 0.14 | 2.96 | |
| Dec 2021 | 0.66 | 0.14 | 3.02 | |
| Total | 14.28 | 3.92 | 53.78 |