. 2021 Mar 3;16(3):e0247770. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247770

Table 5. Sensitivity analysis of the median epidemic size of simulated ASF outbreaks to changes in contact rates.

Scenarios	Parameters		% change in contact rate	Median epidemic Size (5 and 95 percentiles)	% change in median outcome compared to baseline
Scenarios	Transmission probability	Contact rate (S, M, L)	% change in contact rate	Median epidemic Size (5 and 95 percentiles)	% change in median outcome compared to baseline
Baseline	0.6	(0.241, 0.236, 0.021)	N/A	968 (579–992)	N/A
CR 1	0.6	(0.181, 0.177, 0.016)	-25%	878 (43–964)	- 9.29%
CR 2	0.6	(0.121, 0.118, 0.011)	-50%	572 (1–859)	- 40.91%
CR 3	0.6	(0.060, 0.059, 0.005)	-75%	36 (1–394)	- 96.28%