Table 1.

New COVID-19 hospitalizations in 14 days predicted by number of new hospitalizations, negative tests, positivity on a given day and trend in time among 25 countries and 47 US states

	US states test on demand	95% CI	Others test on demand	95% CI	Test symptomatic only	95% CI	Test symptomatic plus key groups	95% CI
Log(hospitalizations)	0.832	0.818, 0.845	0.653	0.623, 0.683	0.760	0.738, 0.782	0.786	0.744, 0.828
Log(negative tests)	0.090	0.088, 0.092	0.250	0.217, 0.283	0.214	0.187, 0.241	−0.190	−0.089, −0.051
Log(positivity)	0.066	0.062, 0.086	0.460	0.427, 0.493	0.381	0.356, 0.406	0.400	0.358, o.442
Time	0.0006	0.0004, 0.0008	0.000	0.000, 0.000	.0004	0.0000, 0.0008	0.002	0.001, 0.003
Intercept	−.084		1.477		0.948		3.984
N days	7593		1498		2170		912
R-Square	0.84		0.94		0.98		0.88