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. 2021 Feb 23;10:e63537. doi: 10.7554/eLife.63537

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© 2021, Goyal et al

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.

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Figure 7. — (A) Optimal infectious dose (ID) response curve (infection risk = P_t) and transmission dose (TD) response curve (transmission risk = P_{t *} P_t) curves for influenza. Transmission probability is a product of two probabilities, contagiousness and infectiousness (Figure 1). (B-D) Three simulated viral shedding curves. Heat maps represent risk of transmission at each shedding timepoint given an exposed contact with an uninfected person at that time.