Table. Comparison of observed and predicted deaths.

Time period	W	Cases	Deaths		CFR	R
			Pred.	Obs.	(in %)	(RKI)
July	4	14 163	122	146	1.0	1.11
August	4	32 273	156	127	0.39	1.06
Early September	3	30 493	214	184	0.6	1.10
End of September	2	28 737	281	286	0.99	1.16
Early Oktober	2	66 796	741	–	–	1.31

Comparison of predicted and observed deaths. This table summarizes the data presented in Figure 1. For each time-period in summer 2020, the number of COVID-19 infections (“cases”) are displayed together with the number of deaths as observed (obs.) and as predicted (pred.) from the age-dependent IFR [4]. For correct association between case and death, the number of deaths have been advanced by 2 weeks. Predicted and observed deaths deviate less than 20% from each other.

CFR,case fatality rate; Obs., observed; Pred., predicted; R, reproduction number; RKI, Robert Koch-Institute; W, number of weeks