Table 2.

Predictors of agreement with statements relating to calculated grades. Predictors are ordered left to right by strength of relationship to the statement. Only statements that showed significant differences by social/demographic group after controlling for prior attainment and the number of offers are shown

	Independent predictors of agreement with statement
I would prefer not to have calculated grades at all and instead take A levels (or equivalents) in September.	Lower predicted A-level points	BAME	Fewer conditional offers	Female
Overall, I would prefer to withdraw entirely from calculated grades and sit exams properly next summer.	Lower predicted A-level points	BAME	Fewer conditional offers	Female
The process described above is the best way to be fair to most students.	Higher predicted A-level points	White	Higher UCAT/BMAT scores
I feel confident this process will result in an accurate assessment of my true abilities.	Higher predicted A-level points	White	Male
Many students do better than their teachers expect; calculated grades cannot take that into account.	Lower predicted A-level points	BAME
My teachers should take into account the disruption caused by coronavirus when judging grades.	Lower predicted A-level points	BAME
Calculated grades should be based only on my performance, not on how previous students at my school performed.	Non-selective state school	Higher deprivation
I am confident in my teachers’ abilities at grading and ranking students.	Higher predicted A-level points	White
My teachers do not know enough about me to grade and rank me accurately.	Lower predicted A-level points	BAME	Fewer conditional offers
In large schools/colleges, it is difficult to see how teachers can rank so many students.	BAME	Lower predicted A-level points
Teachers judging grades should take into account the fact that many students do not do well in mocks but then work hard and do well in exams.	Lower predicted A-level points	Female	Fewer conditional offers
Employers and universities in the future will treat grades from 2020 differently compared with exam grades taken from other years.	Female	Fewer conditional offers

BAME, Black Asian and Minority Ethnic; UCAT, University Clinical Admissions Test.