Table 7.

Cost effectiveness analysis of SMC (US $ 2016)

	Mean	Lower 95% limita	Higher 95% limit
Costs Per Episode Averted
Financial cost per childhood episode averted (actual coverage)	3.77	2.50	6.34
Economic cost per childhood episode averted (actual coverage)	4.26	2.83	7.17
Financial cost per childhood episode averted (predicted coverage)	5.07	3.36	8.53
Economic cost per childhood episode averted (predicted coverage)	5.74	3.80	9.65
Financial cost per all ages episode averted (predicted coverage)	4.35	2.92	7.26
Economic cost per all ages episode averted (predicted coverage)	4.92	3.31	8.21
Economic Cost per DALY averted (actual coverage)	144	135	153
Economic Cost per Death averted (actual coverage)	14,503	13,604	15,402

^aUncertainty bounds – for cost per episode these were taken from the ranges of the model effectiveness estimates. For the DALYs and Deaths a ± 20% was used in the absence of any cost uncertainty, a gamma distribution was assumed for all parameters and 10,000 iterations were run using monte carlo simulations