Table 3.
Cohort | Models | 1-Yr AUROC (95% CI) | 3-Yr AUROC (95% CI) | 5-Yr AUROC (95% CI) | C-Index (95% CI) | LR X2 | df | AIC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Training | Nomogram | 0.68 (0.65, 0.72) | 0.66 (0.63, 0.68) | 0.63 (0.60, 0.65) | 0.63 (0.61, 0.65) | 152.5 | 1 | 15979 |
TNM8th | 0.62 (0.59, 0.64) | 0.60 (0.58, 0.62) | 0.58 (0.56, 0.60) | 0.58 (0.56, 0.59) | 79.18 | 2 | 16054 | |
TNM7th | 0.62 (0.59, 0.63) | 0.60 (0.57, 0.61) | 0.58 (0.56, 0.60) | 0.58 (0.56, 0.59) | 74.35 | 1 | 16057 | |
LCSGJ | 0.63 (0.59, 0.66) | 0.61 (0.58, 0.63) | 0.58 (0.55, 0.61) | 0.58 (0.56, 0.59) | 89.68 | 3 | 16046 | |
Internal validation | Nomogram | 0.71 (0.66, 0.75) | 0.68 (0.64, 0.71) | 0.65 (0.61, 0.68) | 0.65 (0.62, 0.67) | 92.96 | 1 | 7658 |
TNM8th | 0.64 (0.61, 0.67) | 0.62 (0.59, 0.64) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.62) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.62) | 44.51 | 2 | 7708 | |
TNM7th | 0.64 (0.61, 0.67) | 0.62 (0.59, 0.64) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.62) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.61) | 48.66 | 1 | 7702 | |
LCSGJ | 0.64 (0.60, 0.68) | 0.62 (0.59, 0.65) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.61) | 0.59 (0.57, 0.61) | 46.22 | 3 | 7708 | |
External validation | Nomogram | 0.69 (0.59, 0.79) | 0.69 (0.64, 0.75) | 0.70 (0.63, 0.76) | 0.66 (0.62, 0.71) | 42.23 | 1 | 1600 |
TNM8th | 0.64 (0.60, 0.69) | 0.62 (0.59, 0.64) | 0.61 (0.57, 0.63) | 0.61 (0.56, 0.65) | 22.15 | 2 | 1618 | |
TNM7th | 0.63 (0.59, 0.68) | 0.62 (0.58, 0.64) | 0.61 (0.57, 0.63) | 0.60 (0.55, 0.64) | 23.37 | 1 | 1619 | |
LCSGJ | 0.64 (0.60 0.67) | 0.62 (0.58, 0.66) | 0.60 (0.55, 0.65) | 0.60 (0.55, 0.65) | 22.75 | 3 | 1616 |