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. 2021 Mar 10;372:n579. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n579

Table 2.

Risk of death in S gene negative compared with S gene positive (reference category) participants

Model, predictor, value Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value
S gene+age
S gene status:
 Positive (ref)
 Negative 1.64 (1.32 to 2.04) <0.001
 Age (per decade) 3.55 (3.28 to 3.84) <0.001
S gene+N gene cycle threshold+age
S gene status:
 Positive (ref)
 Negative 1.37 (1.09 to 1.72) 0.004
 Age (per decade) 3.51 (3.24 to 3.80) <0.001
 N gene cycle threshold (per 10 units) 0.50 (0.39 to 0.65) <0.001

Hazard ratios >1 are indicative of an increased rate of death in people with infections compatible with VOC-202012/01. In the first model the S gene status is assessed as an indicator with age as a covariate, in the second model variability is included in the N gene cycle threshold value measured in the original specimen as a continuous predictor.