2. Changes in estimated economic burden of lung cancer in China: based on variations in key parameters considered in sensitivity analyses.
| Subgroups | 2017 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | |||||||
| Value
(USD, billion) |
Change
(%) |
Value
(USD, billion) |
Change
(%) |
Value
(USD, billion) |
Change
(%) |
Value
(USD, billion) |
Change
(%) |
||||
| All expenditure is expressed in 2017 USD (United States dollars, 1 USD=6.760 CNY). The purpose of sensitivity analyses was to test the impact of key parameters on the main estimation, so it is only conducted in the main body of estimated economic burden both in 2017 and future. In terms of retiring ages in China for male and female, these are several requirements based on different kinds of occupation. Here, we just choose the common ones inputting the analyses. | |||||||||||
| Main body | 25.1 | − | 30.1 | − | 40.4 | − | 53.4 | − | |||
| Direct expenditure | |||||||||||
| Annual growth rate of 5.6% (13) | 27.7 | 10.3 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 52.6 | 30.2 | 79.6 | 49.1 | |||
| Annual productivity growth rate | |||||||||||
| 6.8% (26) | 21.6 | −13.9 | 25.8 | −14.4 | 35.2 | −12.8 | 47.4 | −11.2 | |||
| −6.8% ( 27) | 16.1 | −35.9 | 19.0 | −36.8 | 26.7 | −33.8 | 37.2 | −30.4 | |||
| Working age (year) | |||||||||||
| Male: 16−60; Female: 16−55 (28) | 13.8 | −44.9 | 17.5 | −42.0 | 23.3 | −42.4 | 30.9 | −42.1 | |||
| Both: 15−64 (18) | 15.7 | −37.2 | 21.2 | −29.6 | 28.2 | −30.3 | 37.0 | −30.7 | |||
| Both: 30−69 (29) | 17.4 | −30.5 | 25.1 | −16.6 | 33.3 | −17.6 | 43.9 | −17.9 | |||
| Disease burden of lung cancer | |||||||||||
| Data from GLOBOCAN 2018 (30) | − | − | 40.2 | 33.6 | 58.9 | 45.9 | 85.2 | 59.4 | |||