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. 2021 Mar 9;17(3):e1008688. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008688

Table 1. Disease characteristics and references.

Transition parameters are discretized to the modelling time step of 1 day. The hospitalization probability is conditional upon being symptomatic. A detailed description on the age dependent proportion of symptomatic cases can be found in the Supplementary section “Age-specific proportion symptomatic cases” of the manuscript by Willem et al. [21].

Parameter Model value References
Incubation period 5-7 days (uniform) [30, 31]
Symptomatic period 4-6 days (uniform) [31]
Infectious period 5-7 days (uniform) [31]
Pre-symptomatic infectious period 2-3 days (uniform) [31]
Hospitalization probability (0-18y) 0.05 [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization probability (19-59y) 0.03 [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization probability (60-79y) 0.12 [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization probability (+80y) 0.60 [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization delay (0-18y) 3 days [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization delay (19-59y) 7 days [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization delay (60-79y) 7 days [28, 32, 33]
Hospitalization delay (+80y) 6 days [28, 32, 33]
Infectiousness asymptomatic case 50% [34]
Proportion of symptomatic cases Age-dependent [21, 35]
Children’s susceptibility 50% [21, 36]