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. 2021 Mar 10;159:107217. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2021.107217

Table 9.

Fitting results of the exponential and the Gamma models for the outbreak of COVID-19 in eleven selected countries between January 11 to May 31, 2020.

Country Exponential
Gamma
μ β R2 μ α β R2 Peak
China 7.91 −0.032 0.368 −9.6 7.77 −0.290 0.813 02/07
USA 7.23 0.025 0.582 −64.7 20.56 −0.195 0.939 04/26
Canada 4.19 0.026 0.561 −75.1 22.61 −0.215 0.920 04/26
Russia 3.67 0.044 0.840 −135.2 37.90 −0.308 0.993 05/13
Spain 6.59 0.013 0.164 −77.0 24.72 −0.283 0.899 04/08
UK 5.53 0.023 0.446 −82.9 25.25 −0.248 0.857 04/22
Italy 6.66 0.010 0.110 −58.0 19.53 −0.238 0.945 04/03
France 6.26 0.012 0.096 −96.9 30.47 −0.353 0.694 04/07
Germany 6.33 0.011 0.103 −83.7 26.80 −0.317 0.862 04/05
Switzerland 4.90 0.006 0.030 −116.0 36.50 −0.463 0.853 03/30
Sweden 3.28 0.026 0.626 −43.75 13.6 −0.123 0.876 04/30