Skip to main content

View full-text article in PMC

. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Apr 1.

Published in final edited form as: Int J Forecast. 2020 Aug 18;37(2):500–510. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.06.013

Table 1:

Prior Distributions and Control Factors

ρ	µ₀	µ₁	ϕ	σ	ρ₀	c
		For Dating Peaks
[0, 1]	[−0.20, 0.80]	[−2.00, −0.80]	[0.10, 0.40]	[0.50, 0.80]	0.05	0.01
		For Dating Troughs
[0, 1]	[−2.00, −1.00]	[−0.60, 0.80]	[0.10, 0.40]	[0.20, 0.60]	0.05	0.02