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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Int J Forecast. 2020 Aug 18;37(2):500–510. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.06.013

Table 4:

Dating the 2007–09 Recession in Real Time with CFNAI

Identified by NBER Identified by Bsquid Leads (−) or lags (+) Announced by NBER Announced by Bsquid Months ahead of NBER announce
Dec 2007 Apr 2008 +4 months Dec 2008 May 2008 7 months
Jun 2009 Sep 2009 +3 month Sep 2010 Oct 2009 11 months