Table 2.
Logged deaths per million
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | Model 7 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | 4·17 (3·69 to 4·65); p<0·0001 | 4·13 (3·71 to 4·56); p<0·0001 | 4·10 (3·65 to 4·55); p<0·0001 | 4·16 (3·73 to 4·60); p<0·0001 | 4·13 (3·70 to 4·56); p<0·0001 | 4·35 (3·87 to 4·83); p<0·0001 | 4·16 (3·77 to 4·56); p<0·0001 |
| Mortality | −0·04 (−0·65 to 0·58); p=0·9078 | −0·31 (−0·87 to 0·25); p=0·2828 | −0·35 (−1·00 to 0·29); p=0·2872 | −0·48 (−1·07 to 0·11); p=0·1175 | −0·36 (−0·97 to 0·25); p=0·2517 | −0·27 (−0·96 to 0·42); p=0·4418 | −0·11 (−0·66 to 0·45); p=0·7083 |
| GDP per capita | 1·14 (0·42 to 1·87); p=0·0034 | 0·54 (−0·17 to 1·25); p=0·1400 | 0·08 (−0·88 to 1·04); p=0·8710 | 0·56 (−0·22 to 1·33); p=0·1660 | 0·47 (−0·31 to 1·26); p=0·2424 | 0·69 (−0·09 to 1·47); p=0·0933 | 0·73 (0·07 to 1·38); p=0·0350 |
| Income inequality, Gini coefficient | 0·18 (−0·43 to 0·78); p=0·5645 | 0·26 (−0·28 to 0·79); p=0·3513 | 0·58 (−0·04 to 1·19); p=0·0747 | 0·16 (−0·39 to 0·71); p=0·5620 | 0·32 (−0·29 to 0·93); p=0·3093 | 0·24 (−0·38 to 0·85); p=0·4564 | −0·05 (−0·59 to 0·49); p=0·8570 |
| Population density | −0·41 (−0·91 to 0·09); p=0·1142 | −0·28 (−0·72 to 0·17); p=0·2304 | −0·15 (−0·65 to 0·34); p=0·5477 | −0·34 (−0·83 to 0·14); p=0·1666 | −0·29 (−0·74 to 0·16); p=0·2178 | −0·41 (−0·93 to 0·10); p=0·1274 | −0·27 (−0·68 to 0·13); p=0·1977 |
| Percent migrants | 0·17 (−0·50 to 0·83); p=0·6272 | 0·27 (−0·32 to 0·86); p=0·3698 | 0·45 (−0·21 to 1·11); p=0·1868 | 0·44 (−0·29 to 1·17); p=0·2410 | 0·27 (−0·32 to 0·86); p=0·3779 | 0·07 (−0·64 to 0·78); p=0·8387 | 0·14 (−0·40 to 0·68); p=0·6196 |
| Government efficiency | −1·14 (−1·84 to −0·44); p=0·0025 | −0·58 (−1·26 to 0·10); p=0·1026 | −0·42 (−1·12 to 0·28); p=0·2450 | −0·60 (−1·29 to 0·08); p=0·0891 | −0·56 (−1·25 to 0·13); p=0·1166 | −0·59 (−1·36 to 0·17); p=0·1389 | −0·37 (−1·05 to 0·30); p=0·2828 |
| Tightness | .. | −1·07 (−1·62 to −0·52); p=0·0004 | −1·08 (−1·67 to −0·49); p=0·0008 | −0·95 (−1·51 to −0·38); p=0·0020 | −1·03 (−1·62 to −0·44); p=0·0013 | −0·94 (−1·50 to −0·39); p=0·0022 | −0·96 (−1·47 to −0·44); p=0·0007 |
| Collectivism | .. | .. | −0·50 (−1·26 to 0·25); p=0·1994 | .. | .. | .. | .. |
| Power distance | .. | .. | −0·24 (−0·95 to 0·47); p=0·5181 | .. | .. | .. | .. |
| Authoritarianism | .. | .. | .. | −0·43 (−1·08 to 0·23); p=0·2070 | .. | .. | .. |
| Median age | .. | .. | .. | .. | 0·18 (−0·62 to 0·97); p=0·6667 | .. | .. |
| Days until lockdown | .. | .. | .. | .. | .. | −0·12 (−0·62 to 0·38); p=0·6325 | .. |
| Government stringency | .. | .. | .. | .. | .. | .. | 0·75 (0·16 to 1·34); p=0·0160 |
| Observations | 55 | 55 | 50 | 53 | 55 | 43 | 53 |
| R2 | 0·28 | 0·45 | 0·51 | 0·48 | 0·45 | 0·53 | 0·56 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0·19 | 0·37 | 0·39 | 0·39 | 0·35 | 0·41 | 0·48 |
| Residual SE | 1·82 (48) | 1·60 (47) | 1·58 (40) | 1·60 (44) | 1·62 (46) | 1·53 (34) | 1·46 (44) |
| F statistic | 3·05 (6, 48); p=0·0130 | 5·45 (7, 47); p=0·0001 | 4·55 (9, 40); p=0·0004 | 5·11 (8, 44); p=0·0002 | 4·71 (8, 46); p=0·0003 | 4·70 (8, 34); p=0·0006 | 7·08 (8, 44); p<0·0001 |
Data are estimate (95% CI), SE (df), or F statistic (df), unless stated otherwise. GDP=gross domestic product.