Table 2. Disease Reproduction and Critical Care Resources Consumption in 5 European Countries*.

Country	Population ^a	Attack Rate Mean % [SD] ^b	Projected No. of Infected/100 000 Inhabitants ^b	Average ICU Beds/100 000 inhabitants ^c	Average No. of Ventilators/100 000 inhabitants ^c	Potential Cumulative No. of Critical Cases/100 000 Inhabitants^d	Potential ICU Daily Admission/100 000 inhabitants by March 31 With Containment Strategies ^e,g	Potential ICU Daily Admission/100 000 Inhabitants by March 31 Without Containment Strategies ^f,g
France	66 977 107	3.00 [1.10-7.40]	3000	12	8	7	0.32	1.76
Germany	82 905 782	0.72 [0.28–1.80]	720	29	30	2	0.08	0.81
Italy	60 421 760	9.80 [3.20-26.00]	9800	1	8	22	1.05	6.07
Spain	46 796 540	15.00 [3.70-41.00]	15 000	10	5	34	1.60	2.75
United Kingdom	66 460 344	2.70 [1.20-5.40]	2700	7	12	6	0.29	0.73

Abbreviation: ICU, intensive care unit.

^*Countries selected based on cumulative cases by March 31, 2020. Source: Own elaboration based on data:

^b Assumptions based on Imperial College London model.³

^c Based on data published.⁹

^d Assumption based on the worst case scenario of 28% ICU admission rate.

^e Potential critical cases divided by 21 days (average length of stay on ICU).

^f Projections if no measures implemented based on ICL model.³

^g P < .0001 on unpaired two-tailed t test.