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. 2021 Mar 11;32(5):459–471. doi: 10.1007/s10552-021-01411-7

Table 1.

Information of different centers worldwide, regarding medical care volume before and during COVID-19 outbreak, estimations of mitigation scenarios after the outbreak and estimative of treatment impact

Continents and Countries Usual Time-to-Treatment Initiationa Medical care reduction during the outbreak Medical care increment after the outbreak Estimated duration (days) of restricted operation due to the outbreak Needed time of effort to recovery (days) TTI (Peak) Patients at risk (exposed) Added risk
(average—1st year)
Europe
 Greece 30 20.0% 6.0% 90 300 48 650 0%
 Italy 30 42.9% 14.3% 120 360 81 2,240 0%
 UK 30 30.0% 0.0% 120 66 1,201 c
 France 40 0% 0.0% 0
 Poland 45 40.0% 100.0% 60 24 69 504 0%
Latin America
 Brazil 30 47.8% 20.0% 90 215 73 2,339 0%
 Brazil 80 41.7% 16.7% 160 400 147 1,121 13.2%
 Colombia 81 50.0% 0.0% 90 126 N/E 12.5%
 Brazil 120 51.6% 21.0% 90 222 166 645 6.0%
 Brazil 150 50.0% 16.7% 90 270 195 1,441 0%
North America
 USA 21 50.0% 17.6% 30 85 36 652 0%
 USA 30 25.0% 20.8% 60 72 45 529 0%
 USA 25 80.0% 50.0% 28 45 47 98 0%
 Canada 56 b 20.0% 0
Asia
 Taiwan 23 60.0% 0.0% 30 41 N/E c
 India 30 68.2% 0.0% 60 71 N/E 1.2%
 Africa
South Africa 30 46.7% 0.0% 270 156 N/E 19.8%
Oceania
 Australia 47 0.5% 0.0% 0

aUnder standard circumstances

bIncrease of medical care due to a particular situation

cEven though no mitigation strategy led to 0% increment in risk of dying, the long-standing ‘novel TTI’ of the service will be higher

TTI = time-to-treatment initiation; N/E: not estimated (absence of mitigation strategy); “-” services that do not experimented reduction of medical care volume during the outbreak