Table 1.
Information of different centers worldwide, regarding medical care volume before and during COVID-19 outbreak, estimations of mitigation scenarios after the outbreak and estimative of treatment impact
| Continents and Countries | Usual Time-to-Treatment Initiationa | Medical care reduction during the outbreak | Medical care increment after the outbreak | Estimated duration (days) of restricted operation due to the outbreak | Needed time of effort to recovery (days) | TTI (Peak) | Patients at risk (exposed) | Added risk (average—1st year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | ||||||||
| Greece | 30 | 20.0% | 6.0% | 90 | 300 | 48 | 650 | 0% |
| Italy | 30 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 120 | 360 | 81 | 2,240 | 0% |
| UK | 30 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 120 | ∞ | 66 | 1,201 | c |
| France | 40 | 0% | 0.0% | 0 | – | – | – | – |
| Poland | 45 | 40.0% | 100.0% | 60 | 24 | 69 | 504 | 0% |
| Latin America | ||||||||
| Brazil | 30 | 47.8% | 20.0% | 90 | 215 | 73 | 2,339 | 0% |
| Brazil | 80 | 41.7% | 16.7% | 160 | 400 | 147 | 1,121 | 13.2% |
| Colombia | 81 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 90 | ∞ | 126 | N/E | 12.5% |
| Brazil | 120 | 51.6% | 21.0% | 90 | 222 | 166 | 645 | 6.0% |
| Brazil | 150 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 90 | 270 | 195 | 1,441 | 0% |
| North America | ||||||||
| USA | 21 | 50.0% | 17.6% | 30 | 85 | 36 | 652 | 0% |
| USA | 30 | 25.0% | 20.8% | 60 | 72 | 45 | 529 | 0% |
| USA | 25 | 80.0% | 50.0% | 28 | 45 | 47 | 98 | 0% |
| Canada | 56 | b | 20.0% | 0 | – | – | – | – |
| Asia | ||||||||
| Taiwan | 23 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 30 | ∞ | 41 | N/E | c |
| India | 30 | 68.2% | 0.0% | 60 | ∞ | 71 | N/E | 1.2% |
| Africa | ||||||||
| South Africa | 30 | 46.7% | 0.0% | 270 | ∞ | 156 | N/E | 19.8% |
| Oceania | ||||||||
| Australia | 47 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0 | – | – | – | – |
aUnder standard circumstances
bIncrease of medical care due to a particular situation
cEven though no mitigation strategy led to 0% increment in risk of dying, the long-standing ‘novel TTI’ of the service will be higher
TTI = time-to-treatment initiation; N/E: not estimated (absence of mitigation strategy); “-” services that do not experimented reduction of medical care volume during the outbreak