Fig 5. Revised estimates of cumulative p_Z versus empirical ${\widehat{\mathit{p}}}_{\mathit{Z}}$ by country.

Countries to the left of the dotted line reported zero confirmed or suspected Zika cases according to PAHO. Top: Total reported Zika cases by country on a log₁₀ scale. Bottom: Violin plots of cumulative p_Z assuming confirmed cases arose from PCR-RT or IgM tests only, with empirical ${\widehat{p}}_Z$ indicated with a horizontal orange line. The distributions of p_Z were estimated using temporally disaggregated data for each country and were then were aggregated for visualization. Region-wide estimates (i.e., aggregated across all 43 countries) are shown farthest to the right.