TABLE 6.
Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | t-Statistic | Probability | Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | t-Statistic | Probability |
Short-run | |||||||||
D[VIX(−1)] | –0.121317 | 0.07492 | –1.61 | 0.15 | D(IRC) | 0.025592 | 0.00486 | 5.265 | 0.00 |
D(CHNC) | –0.000835 | 0.00029 | –2.84 | 0.02 | D[IRC(−1)] | 0.047561 | 0.007196 | –6.609 | 0.00 |
D[CHNC(−1)] | 0.002225 | 0.00036 | 6.085 | 0.00 | D[IRC(−2)] | 0.041762 | 0.00475 | –8.791 | 0.00 |
D[CHNC(−2)] | 0.002097 | 0.00039 | 5.338 | 0.00 | D(IRD) | 0.220182 | 0.055997 | 3.932 | 0.00 |
D(CHND) | 0.025387 | 0.02166 | 1.171 | 0.28 | D[IRD(−1)] | 0.323953 | 0.080449 | 4.026 | 0.00 |
D[CHND(−1)] | –0.049799 | 0.02089 | –2.38 | 0.05 | D[IRD(−2)] | 0.353056 | 0.118423 | –2.981 | 0.02 |
D[CHND(−2)] | –0.074943 | 0.01340 | –5.59 | 0.00 | D(PAKC) | 0.123498 | 0.024374 | 5.066 | 0.00 |
D(JAPC) | 0.126562 | 0.03972 | 3.185 | 0.01 | D[PAKC(−1)] | 0.086263 | 0.03167 | 2.723 | 0.03 |
D[JAPC(−1)] | 0.215088 | 0.04080 | 5.271 | 0.00 | D[PAKC(−2)] | 0.104221 | 0.028715 | 3.629 | 0.01 |
D[JAPC(−2)] | 0.141362 | 0.04823 | 2.93 | 0.02 | ECTt-1 | –0.718286 | 0.0633 | –11.34 | 0.00 |
D(JAPD) | 1.042896 | 0.53948 | 1.933 | 0.10 | R-squared | 0.970102 | |||
D[JAPD(−1)] | –3.581338 | 0.80170 | –4.46 | 0.00 | Adjusted R-squared | 0.923118 | |||
D[JAPD(−2)] | –4.013693 | 0.78239 | –5.13 | 0.00 | Durbin-Watson | 2.052251 | |||
Long-run | |||||||||
CHNC | –0.00502 | 0.00062 | –8.00 | 0.00 | IRC | 0.048397 | 0.008973 | 5.393 | 0.00 |
CHND | 0.078293 | 0.03507 | 2.232 | 0.06 | IRD | –0.416392 | 0.171506 | 0.427 | 0.51 |
JAPC | –0.292012 | 0.17807 | –1.63 | 0.15 | PAKC | 0.051902 | 0.125891 | 0.412 | 0.69 |
JAPD | 15.83017 | 3.28179 | 4.823 | 0.00 | C | 26.98563 | 2.103817 | 12.82 | 0.00 |
Author’s calculation.