Skip to main content
. 2021 Mar 11;11:5652. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-85154-0

Table 2.

Model estimates of progress toward UNAIDS targets.

South Africa Cape Town Ekurhuleni eThekwini Johannesburg Tshwane
Progress toward 90-90-90
By 2018 91-68-86 87-61-90 89-61-78 92-73-91 86-60-85 87-56-89
By 2020 93-73-91 89-66-93 91-68-85 94-75-94 89-72-90 89-61-93
Progress toward 95-95-95
By 2030 96-78-91 94-76-94 95-76-86 97-77-94 95-77-90 95-76-93
By 2030, if ART interruption rate is halved from 2021 97-87-91 95-85-94 96-86-86 97-86-94 96-86-90 96-86-93
Reduction in incidence from 2010
By 2018 48.7% 34.0% 46.2% 57.2% 48.2% 37.6%
By 2020 (target: 75%) 58.5% 42.8% 57.0% 64.6% 61.4% 48.1%
By 2030 (target: 90%) 71.9% 61.2% 71.3% 75.5% 76.4% 73.5%
By 2030, if ART interruption rate is halved from 2021 78.6% 69.3% 77.4% 82.2% 82.4% 81.1%

Confidence intervals for these point estimates are shown in Table 1 and Supplementary Table S8.