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. 2021 Mar 2;15(3):e0009209. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009209

Revised estimates of leprosy disability weights for assessing the global burden of disease: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

Shri Lak Nanjan Chandran 1, Anuj Tiwari 1, Anselmo Alves Lustosa 2, Betul Demir 3, Bob Bowers 4, Rachel Gimenes Rodrigues Albuquerque 5, Renata Bilion Ruiz Prado 6, Saba Lambert 7, Hiroyuki Watanabe 8, Juanita Haagsma 1, Jan Hendrik Richardus 1,*
Editor: Linda B Adams9
PMCID: PMC7954345  PMID: 33651814

Abstract

Background

Leprosy is a chronic bacterial infection caused by Mycobacterium leprae, which may lead to physical disability, stigma, and discrimination. The chronicity of the disease and disabilities are the prime contributors to the disease burden of leprosy. The current figures of the disease burden in the 2017 global burden of disease study, however, are considered to be under-estimated. In this study, we aimed to systematically review the literature and perform individual patient data meta-analysis to estimate new disability weights for leprosy, using Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQOL) data.

Methodology/principal findings

The search strategy included all major databases with no restriction on language, setting, study design, or year of publication. Studies on human populations that have been affected by leprosy and recorded the HRQOL with the Short form tool, were included. A consortium was formed with authors who could share the anonymous individual-level data of their study. Mean disability weight estimates, sorted by the grade of leprosy disability as defined by WHO, were estimated for individual participant data and pooled using multivariate random-effects meta-analysis. Eight out of 14 studies from the review were included in the meta-analysis due to the availability of individual-level data (667 individuals). The overall estimated disability weight for grade 2 disability was 0.26 (95%CI: 0.18–0.34). For grade 1 disability the estimated weight was 0.19 (95%CI: 0.13–0.26) and for grade 0 disability it was 0.13 (95%CI: 0.06–0.19). The revised disability weight for grade 2 leprosy disability is four times higher than the published GBD 2017 weights for leprosy and the grade 1 disability weight is nearly twenty times higher.

Conclusions/significance

The global burden of leprosy is grossly underestimated. Revision of the current disability weights and inclusion of disability caused in individuals with grade 0 leprosy disability will contribute towards a more precise estimation of the global burden of leprosy.

Author summary

Leprosy is a chronic, disabling disease that causes various kinds of disability in the affected person. This includes physical impairment, activity limitation, and participation restriction. However, the published global burden of disease estimates for leprosy is considered to be a gross under-estimation. Disability weights form an integral component in the calculation of the burden estimates. But the methodology for calculation of the weights focuses only on physical impairment and lacks the perspective of the patient. In this study, we systematically reviewed the literature and performed an individual patient data meta-analysis for revising the disability weights for leprosy using domain scores from health-related quality of life instruments. The domains of these instruments cover all aspects of disability from a patient’s perspective. We found that the revised weights were considerably higher than the current weights, and were more reflective of the actual disability caused by leprosy. We also found that for individuals without any severe disability due to leprosy (grade 0), they still experience comparable suffering. Revision of the current disability weights and inclusion of the disability caused in grade 0 individuals will contribute towards better estimation of the global burden of leprosy.

Introduction

Leprosy is a chronic bacterial infection caused by Mycobacterium leprae, which may lead to physical disability, stigma, and discrimination. Every year, around 200,000 new leprosy cases are detected worldwide and 12,800 persons are diagnosed with advanced disfigurement (referred to as leprosy grade 2 disability), which is irreversible in nature [1]. Leprosy is often misunderstood to be eliminated or carry no significant disease burden because most cases have limited physical impairment. In reality, the burden of leprosy is beyond physical impairment and encompasses the mental and social wellbeing of affected persons [2, 3]. The World Health Organization (WHO) defines ‘disability’ as an umbrella term that covers physical impairment, activity limitation, and participation restriction [4]. In leprosy, an alternative definition of disability has traditionally been used; grades 0, 1, and 2 disability [5].

Disease burden can be expressed by Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), a measure that was introduced in 1990 and gained significance with the Global Burden of Disease(GBD) 1996 study [6]. The aim was to holistically quantify disease burden by accounting for morbidity and mortality. DALYs are commonly used to compare the disease burden and set priorities for health policy [7]. The calculation of DALY involves the addition of the Years of Life Lost (YLL) to Years Lived with Disability (YLD) [8]. An important component of the YLD is the pre-calculated disability weight, which has a value ranging from 0 (a state of full health) through 1 (a state equal to death) [9, 10].

It was argued that GBD’s quantification of disability weights was based only on the preferences of experts [11, 12]. However, GBD later updated the methodology by including the preferences of general populations in their surveys [8, 9]. It has also been argued that the health state descriptions to calculate disability weights are not accurate for some diseases [11], including leprosy. The descriptions do not always capture all the aspects of disability, such as activity limitation and participation restriction, and sometimes focus only on physical impairment [12]. Therefore the disability weights for leprosy grades 1 and 2 are suspected to be under-estimated for leprosy. Furthermore, no disability weights are assigned in the current GBD study to leprosy patients without any form of physical disability (grade 0), who still may experience poor mental health. The suspected under-estimation of disability weights is flagged by experts [13, 14], but no empirical evidence is available to indicate the magnitude. Improving the health state description will have a direct impact on the global estimation of leprosy burden.

The disability weights can be revised by using Health-Related Quality Of Life (HRQOL) instruments, which cover all three aspects of disability (physical impairment, activity limitation, and participation restriction) equally [15]. HRQOL data can be obtained as (a) Non-Preference based measures, and (b) Preference-based measures [16]. Non-preference based measures describe health states as one or more domains, while preference-based measures assign a ’weight/index value’ to the health state from an individual or population, to yield a summary score. For leprosy, the former is the most commonly used method to measure HRQOL. The HRQOL questionnaires can measure the health state from the perspective of the patient and cover all the three aspects of disability.

There is an urgent need to revise the leprosy disability weights for priority setting in health policy, resource allocation, and advocacy. Currently, leprosy is neglected among the Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTD) group and prioritized as the third-least burdened disease [8]. The aim of our study is to compare the current GBD leprosy disability weights with new weights derived using HRQOL measures of leprosy patients. The objectives are: 1) to identify studies that measured HRQOL of leprosy patients; and 2) to assess leprosy disability weights based on the existing HRQOL data. We expect that the revised disability weight will be useful to correct the global leprosy burden. The revised disability weights will also aid to determine the cost-effectiveness of new interventions for treatment in leprosy, which are currently imperative [7].

Methods

This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted and reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement [17] (S1 Table). First, we searched the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews database (PROSPERO) for any similar ongoing or published literature reviews. We then developed a review protocol and registered it with PROSPERO (CRD42019146494).

Data sources and search strategy

The search strategy (S1 Appendix) was created in collaboration with an information specialist at the Erasmus MC library, with input from the research group. We searched articles on various databases and scrutinized references of the relevant studies. Additionally, we received assistance from the international knowledge center for information resources on leprosy (INFOLEP) [18] in searching for grey literature, such as conference proceedings and inaccessible data. The databases were searched with no restriction on language, year of publication, study design, or setting. We adequately translated non-English publications using online translation tools.

Study selection

We performed the screening process as a limited dual review. Title and abstracts were first screened by two independent reviewers (SLNC and AT) on a random sample (n = 303) of the study abstracts with clearly defined eligibility criteria (S1 Appendix). An inter-rater agreement of 95% was observed (Kappa = 0.82), which is deemed to be strong [19]. The discrepancies that existed between the reviewers at this stage were resolved through discussion. Based on the discussions at this stage, the screening of the remaining titles and abstracts was adopted by the first reviewer (SLNC). The next stages of screening of the full texts of the selected studies and data-extraction were also carried out by the first reviewer (SLNC). Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and EndNote X9.2 were used for data extraction and management, respectively.

Data extraction and meta-analysis

Based on the eligibility criteria, we identified studies that used any version of the SF-36 tool, to measure HRQOL in leprosy patients. In September 2019, we sent an invitation to the authors of those studies for joining the Study Consortium. The consortium was set up by including authors who could share the anonymous individual-level data of their study. Primary outcomes of interest were the grade of leprosy disability and eight domain scores of the SF-36 tool.

The Short Form (SF)-36 questionnaire contained 36 items that measured eight health domains: physical functioning, role limitations (physical), bodily pain, general health, vitality, social functioning, role limitations (emotional), and mental health [20]. Aggregated summary scores namely the Physical Component Summary (PCS) and the Mental Component Summary (MCS), was obtained from the eight domains [21]. Data on age, gender, leprosy type (PB or MB), the grade of disability (Grade 0, 1 or 2), and HRQOL domain scores recorded at baseline for each individual, were used for the analysis. We also confirmed the version of the SF-36 tool used by the authors and checked the scoring methodology for each study.

We imputed any missing data values for each included study separately, using the Multiple Imputation by Chained Reactions (MICE) method. The results of the multiple imputation were investigated using convergence plots (Figs A-D in S2 Appendix). We estimated PCS and MCS scores from the domains of all individual patients, following an oblique factor analysis that allowed for correlation of the underlying factors [22]. We also checked for the sensitivity of the imputation, by re-running the analyses excluding all observations with missing data values.

We transformed the individual SF-36 PCS and MCS scores into equivalent disability weights using a mapping function developed from SF-12 scores (a shortened version of SF-36), by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) [23]. The mapping function is based on a loess regression, which returns a disability weight for each composite score (Table B in S2 Appendix). For this, we combined the PCS and MCS scores into a summary score, through simple addition. For a study with multiple imputations, we sorted the estimated disability weights by disability grades for each imputed dataset. Then we pooled the sorted disability weights from each imputation following Rubin’s rules [24]. For a study with no imputation, we estimated the mean disability weights, which were also sorted by disability grades.

For meta-analyses, we applied a two-stage multivariate random-effects model to estimate overall mean weights for disability grades 0, 1, and 2 from all consortium studies. Furthermore, we compared the difference between grades 0, 1, and 2 overall disability weights. The inter-study heterogeneity was presented using the I2 statistic. To visualize the results of the meta-analyses we generated forest plots for each grade of disability using a univariate random-effects model. The difference in the estimated weights using the two models were also compared.

In the end, we compared our results to the current disability weights for leprosy, published in the 2017 GBD study. We also used the multivariate meta-analysis approach to estimate overall mean scores for each of the eight SF-36 domains. The meta-analyzed domain scores were sorted by the grade of disability to test for differences in the overall mean domain scores between the grades. We performed all statistical analyses using R version 3.5.3.

Results

Literature search

Fig 1 presents the results through the PRISMA flowchart. The literature search yielded 2195 articles. The screening of titles and abstracts resulted in 265 studies that appeared to meet the selection criteria. Following the screening of full text of the included articles, a total of 13 studies were included as they recorded and reported HRQOL scores from the SF-36 tool from people affected by leprosy. One other study reporting SF-36 scores was included from supplementary sources and snowballing procedures while searching for studies published until 2019.

Fig 1. PRISMA Flowchart.

Fig 1

n- Number of citations, QOL- Quality of Life, IPD- Individual participant data.

Table 1 presents the study characteristics of the fourteen studies that reported the use of the SF-36 tool. Of these studies, eight were included in further analyses because of the availability of individual-level data (n = 667 patients). In all the studies the proportion of male participants was higher than females. Not all studies reported the type of leprosy of the participants (n = 143) and a few had missing disability grades. No issues were identified on checking the methodology of scoring of SF-36 domains in the included studies. The number of missing data points, if present, were also summarized (S2 Appendix).

Table 1. Study Characteristic.

First Author, Year HRQL instrument Country N % of Females (number) Mean Age (Range) Type of Leprosy
*Demir, et al., 2014 [25] SF-36 V1 Turkey 35 31 (11) 75 (41–96) PB- 0; MB-35
*Watanabe, H., 2013 [26] SF-36 V2 Vietnam 143 40 (57) 61 (12–89) Not recorded
*#Lambert, et al., 2016 [27] SF-36 V1 Ethiopia 13
20
23 (3)
20 (4)
30 (18–58)
29 (20–45)
PB-0; MB-33
*Lambert, et al., 2016 [28] SF-36 V1 Ethiopia 73 21 (15) 34 (18–60) PB-0; MB-73
*do Prado, et al., 2011 [29] SF-36 V1 Brazil 97 32 (31) 51 (20–89) PB-13; MB-84
*Guimenes, et al., 2019 [30] SF-36 V1 Brazil 104 44 (46) 46 (21–80) PB-20; MB-84
*Bowers, et al., 2017 [31] RAND-36 Bangladesh 75 20 (15) 36 (15–62) PB-3; MB-72
*Lustosa, et al., 2011 [32] SF-36 V1 Brazil 107 37 (40) 45 (15–86) PB-50, MB-57
Diaz, et al., 2008 [33] SF-36 V1 Brazil 12 58 (7) 50 Unavailable
Sales, et al., 2017 [34] SF-36 V1 Brazil 59 22 (13) 46 (19–83) BB-2; BL-16; LL-41
Wan, et al..2017 [35] RAND-36 Ecuador 19 37 (7) 56 Unavailable
Araujo, et al., 2016 [36] SF-36 V1 Brazil 59 46 (27) 46 PB-11; MB-46
Borges-De-Oliveira, et al., 2015 [37] SF-36 V1 Brazil 126 44 (55) 42 (18–79) PB-42; MB-84
Bottene, et al., 2012 [38] SF-36 V1 Brazil 49 67 (33) 56 PB-49; MB-0

Study population: N- Sample size, F- Females, PB- Paucibacillary, MB- Multibacillary, RAND- Research and Development, SF- Short Form. The RAND-36 is a publicly available version of the SF-36 that uses a different scoring method.

* Included for meta-analysis.

# Contains two pilot trials that are analyzed as separate datasets.

Meta-analysis

Data from eight studies were included in the final meta-analysis. One of the publications [27] included two pilot trials, which are represented separately in the analysis. Fig 2 provides an overview of the overall disability weights for the Grade 2, Grade 1, and Grade 0 disability from the univariate meta-analysis model, for ease of presentation.

Fig 2. Forest plots for the three grades of leprosy disability.

Fig 2

N- Number of participants; Plots obtained with the univariate random-effects model.

Table 2 shows that the differences in the estimated disability weights between the univariate and multivariate meta-analysis models are negligible. But we considered the results of the Multivariate model for reporting in this manuscript because the multivariate model can handle more variability in the analysis than the univariate model. The disability weight for grade 2 was 0.26 (95%CI: 0.18–0.34). For grade 1 disability the estimated weight was 0.19 (95%CI: 0.13–0.26) and grade 0 estimated weight was 0.13 (95%CI: 0.06–0.19). A sensitivity analysis of the imputation showed near similar results (Tables C-D in S2 Appendix).

Table 2. Meta-Analyses Model Results.

Grade Disability Weight Estimate Standard Error 95% Confidence Interval
Uni Multi Uni Multi Uni Multi
lower upper lower upper
0 0.13 0.12 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.20 0.06 0.19
1 0.19 0.19 0.03 0.03 0.13 0.25 0.13 0.26
2 0.26 0.26 0.04 0.04 0.19 0.34 0.18 0.34

Uni- Two-stage univariate random effects model, Multi- Two-stage random effects multivariate model

A test for differences in the estimated disability weights between the three grades of leprosy disability revealed that the weights for grade 1 (0.19) and grade 2 (0.26) were statistically significantly different from grade 0 (0.12)(Table A in S3 Appendix). However, the grade 1 weight was not statistically significantly different from the grade 2 weight.

Table 3 shows the comparison of the estimated disability weights from our multivariate meta-analysis to current 2017 GBD estimates for leprosy [8]. Table 4 shows the current GBD health state description and proposed health state descriptions for all the three grades of leprosy disability, which have been rephrased based on our meta-analyzed HRQOL results.

Table 3. Comparison of the revised and GBD 2017 leprosy disability weights.

Disability Grade due to Leprosy Revised Disability Weights GBD 2017 Disability Weights for leprosy
Grade 0 –not reported in GBD studies 0.12 [0.06–0.19] NR
Grade 1 0.19 [0.13–0.26] 0.01 [0.01–0.02]
Grade 2 0.26 [0.18–0.34] 0.07 [0.04–0.10]

NR- Not reported, GBD- Global burden of Disease

Table 4. GBD 2017 health state descriptions for leprosy.

Sequela GBD health state description for leprosy Newly proposed health state description for leprosy
Disfigurement Level 1 due to leprosy (WHO leprosy grade 0) NR Has no visible deformity, but skin lesions and mild pain, which causes some mental distress, but no difficulty with daily activities
Disfigurement Level 2 due to leprosy (WHO leprosy grade 1) Has a slight visible deformity that others notice, which causes some worry and discomfort Has a slight visible deformity, often with moderate pain, which often causes some mental distress, and some difficulty with social and daily activities
Disfigurement Level 3 due to leprosy (WHO leprosy grade 2) Has visible deformity that causes others to stare and comment. As a result, the person is worried and has trouble sleeping and concentrating Has visible deformity, often with severe pain, which often causes a lot of mental distress, and great difficulty with social and daily activities

NR- Not Reported, WHO- World Health Organization

Fig 3 shows a spider plot of the meta-analyzed domain scores, for each of the disability grades from the multi-variate random-effects model (Table B in S3 Appendix). The Mental Health (MH) mean domain scores were similar in all the three disability grades. While the grade 2 mental health score was not statistically significantly different from grade 0 scores, only marginal statistical significance was observed between the mean mental health scores of grade 0 and grade 1 (Table C in S3 Appendix). For grades 1 and 2, the General Health (GH) and Role limitations due to physical deformity (RP) were the least scored domains with mean scores of 43.70 [95%CI:35–52] and 37.74 [95%CI: 29–47], respectively. The Bodily pain (BP) domain was the second-least scored domain in both grade 1–46.5 [95%CI: 35–58] and grade 2–42.18 [95%CI:31–53] disabilities. However, for grade 0 disability the General Health (GH)- 52.28 [95%CI: 44–61] and Bodily Pain (BP) = 54.4 [95%CI: 42–67] were the two least scoring domains.

Fig 3. Spyder plot of reported SF-36 domain scores by the grade of disability.

Fig 3

PF- Physical Function, RP- Role limitations (physical), BP- Bodily Pain, GH- General Health, VT- Vitality, SF- Social Functioning, RE- Role limitations (emotional), MH- Mental Health.

Discussion

Our study derived new estimates of leprosy disability weights based on SF-36 HRQOL scores. The overall estimated disability weight for grade 2 disability was 0.26 (95%CI: 0.18–0.34). For grade 1 disability the estimated weight was 0.19 (95%CI: 0.13–0.26) and for grade 0 disability it was 0.13 (95%CI: 0.06–0.19). The revised disability weight for grade 2 leprosy disability is four times higher than the published GBD 2017 weights for leprosy and the grade 1 the disability weight is nearly twenty times higher.

In our study, we determine the under-estimation of the leprosy burden based on empirical evidence. Our meta-analysis is based on data from different time points and geographical settings, hence the external validity is high. Furthermore, the use of individual-level patient data increased the reliability of the estimates. The mapping function used for transforming HRQOL data into disability weights is in line with IHME proposed methods, therefore the acceptance of results can be expected to be high. Finally, the proposed lay descriptions for the disability grades of leprosy were rephrased based on the findings of a reliable and multidimensional patient-reported outcome measure.

As a limitation, we could not include individual data from six of the fourteen identified studies, due to the non-availability of individual data. However, we tried to utilize the HRQOL summary estimates from fourteen studies to understand the overall influence of HRQOL on aspects of disability, i.e., physical impairment, participation restriction, and activity limitation. The derived weights were not corrected for comorbidity, because no data was recorded for comorbidity in most studies. Though, the SF-36 has been designed to provide only a general measure of mental health for most conditions, the use of more sensitive instruments for measuring patient experiences like anxiety and depression [39] would have contributed to more accurate estimates of disability burden in leprosy. Quality appraisal of the included studies was not conducted, because the main focus of the research question was on estimating new weights from the individual participant data that were observed at baseline. Although the studies were from different geographical settings, no study was identified and included from India, which yields the highest number of new cases, globally.

The differences in our disability weights compared to GBD 2017 weights are due to the inclusion of mental health status, activity limitation, and pain, among other effects of leprosy as perceived by the patients. Mental health is one of the lowest scoring domains across all three grades of leprosy disability. This domain captures how the person feels, including their degree of nervousness and anxiety. Our results are consistent with studies that showed poor mental health in leprosy irrespective of disability. Poor mental health is associated with the high stigma and discrimination experienced by people affected by leprosy for a long time even after the successful completion of antimicrobial multidrug treatment [32, 40, 41]. The role limitations-physical was the least scoring domain among leprosy patients with grade 2 disability, indicating that they face problems in performing regular daily activities as a result of their physical health. A cross-sectional survey by Van Brakel et al. (2012) also described a high proportion of persons with leprosy reporting activity limitations [2]. The same study also showed that limitation in activities increased the risk of social participation restriction and societal discrimination of persons with leprosy. Our results also showed that patients across all three grades of leprosy disability (including grade 0) reported that pain interfered considerably with their normal work. A review by Thakur et al. (2015) also showed that both acute pain associated with leprosy reactions and occurring as intermittent episodes and chronic (neuropathic) pain were common presenting symptoms among leprosy patients [42]. The physical role limitations and bodily pain may have largely contributed to the low scores of the general health domain, for all the grades of leprosy disability.

If the mental health, activity limitation, and bodily pain will be captured sensitively through an appropriate health state description as proposed in our study, then the weights and global burden of leprosy will increase multifold [43]. Modification of disability weights for other NTDs, through the incorporation of the psychological impact of disease has been made in previous GBD studies [44]. Overall, the patient perspective contributed most to the difference in the disability weights. Our revised grade 2 weights are comparable with the GBD 2017 weights of idiopathic-less severe epilepsy (S2 Table). In addition to a general modelling strategy, the GBD study uses different methods for each disease to estimate its global burden. Currently, the leprosy burden is ranked third-last among thirteen NTDs [8], but after considering the revised weights, leprosy is expected to be ranked in the middle order of NTDs.

The early versions of the GBD studies assigned an average disability weight of 0.152 to grades 1 and 2 [45]. The GBD revised its leprosy weights in 2013 [9] and used the same weights in the 2017 burden estimation [8]. The applied methodology was paired comparison of data collected from the general population, whereas we analyzed SF-36 HRQOL data of individual patients. The difference in methodology is one of the reasons for a drastic difference in the weights. The advantage of HRQOL based weights is that they can sufficiently capture disease burden by covering the patient’s perspective [15]. In several instances, GBD considered HRQOL methodology to revise the burden estimates of diseases such as Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD)and Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) [8].

The revised weights for leprosy disability grade 0 are near similar to grade 1 weights, which implies that the leprosy patients without any visible disability also experience comparable suffering. The proximity in the weights- grade 0 and 1 is largely due to the similarity in the scores of the mental components of the SF-36 tool.

We opted to calculate the PCS and MCS composite scores using oblique factor coefficients [22] over orthogonal factor coefficients [21] because the latter was criticized [46] for its assumption that the two components were independent (uncorrelated). A mapping function was essential to calculate the disability weights from PCS and MCS scores. Therefore, we selected a mapping function developed from SF-12 composite scores proposed by IHME. The SF-12 tool [47] is a shortened version of the more reliable SF-36. The use of the SF-36 composite scores as a proxy to the SF-12 scores is justified because both scores are highly correlated [20, 47].

Recommendations

We recommend revising the health state descriptions for the two leprosy disability grades because the current description excludes activity limitation and participation restriction aspects that are experienced by the patients. The sequelae base of leprosy should be broadened by including leprosy grade 0 disability patients because its revised weight is close to grade 1. The GBD used a general health state description to calculate the disability weights, which are sensitive to this description. We recommend revising the health state description for leprosy because the current description excludes activity limitation and participation restriction aspects. Finally, there is a need for SF-36 HRQOL studies from India to be included in the future revision of the leprosy disability weights.

Conclusion

We conclude that the global burden of leprosy is grossly underestimated. Comparable to the patients of grade 2 disability, grade 1 and grade 0 patients also experience a similar level of poor mental health and quality of life. Revision of the current disability weights and inclusion of disability caused in individuals with grade 0 leprosy disability will contribute towards a more precise estimation of the global burden of leprosy.

Supporting information

S1 Table. PRISMA-IPD checklist.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. List of similarly weighted disease sequelae.

(DOCX)

S1 Appendix. Search strategy and selection criteria.

(DOCX)

S2 Appendix. Summary of missing data, multiple imputation and disability weight transformation.

(DOCX)

S3 Appendix. Summary of meta-analyzed domain scores.

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

We thank Sabrina Gunput, biomedical information specialist at the Erasmus MC Library, for her technical assistance in the development of the search strategy for the review and Daan Nieboer, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC for his statistical advice. We also thank Jiske Erlings at Infolep-Amsterdam, for her assistance with inaccessible studies during the review phase, and Eliane Ignotti for her assistance in contacting the authors.

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

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PLoS Negl Trop Dis. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009209.r001

Decision Letter 0

Linda B Adams, Gerson Oliveira Penna

4 Jan 2021

Dear Dr. Richardus,

Thank you very much for submitting your manuscript "Revised estimates of leprosy disability weights for assessing the global burden of disease: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis" for consideration at PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. As with all papers reviewed by the journal, your manuscript was reviewed by members of the editorial board and by several independent reviewers. The reviewers appreciated the attention to an important topic. Based on the reviews, we are likely to accept this manuscript for publication, providing that you modify the manuscript according to the review recommendations.

Please prepare and submit your revised manuscript within 30 days. If you anticipate any delay, please let us know the expected resubmission date by replying to this email.  

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Linda B Adams

Associate Editor

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Gerson Penna

Deputy Editor

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

***********************

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Key Review Criteria Required for Acceptance?

As you describe the new analyses required for acceptance, please consider the following:

Methods

-Are the objectives of the study clearly articulated with a clear testable hypothesis stated?

-Is the study design appropriate to address the stated objectives?

-Is the population clearly described and appropriate for the hypothesis being tested?

-Is the sample size sufficient to ensure adequate power to address the hypothesis being tested?

-Were correct statistical analysis used to support conclusions?

-Are there concerns about ethical or regulatory requirements being met?

Reviewer #1: Yes to all questions above

Reviewer #2: This is a well defined and organized study

--------------------

Results

-Does the analysis presented match the analysis plan?

-Are the results clearly and completely presented?

-Are the figures (Tables, Images) of sufficient quality for clarity?

Reviewer #1: Table 1: No explanation is given for the acronym ‘RAND-36’ or its equivalence with the SF-36

Table 5: People with Grade 1 disabilities also face participation restrictions and suffer from depression. Grade 2 disability is a frequent cause of depression and of severe participation restrictions. A recent systematic review found that up to 50% of persons affected by leprosy suffer from depression and/or anxiety. This is insufficiently captured in the proposed health state descriptions.

Reviewer #2: Results are clear and well analyzed

--------------------

Conclusions

-Are the conclusions supported by the data presented?

-Are the limitations of analysis clearly described?

-Do the authors discuss how these data can be helpful to advance our understanding of the topic under study?

-Is public health relevance addressed?

Reviewer #1: Line 358-65: the authors are advised to consider rephrasing the proposed health state descriptions since ‘daily activities’ is often taken to mean activities of daily living, i.e. the activity component of the ICF, rather than the participation component. Furthermore, an explicit reference to poor mental wellbeing (or mental health) is recommended.

Reviewer #2: The conclusions are logical and supported by the analysis

--------------------

Editorial and Data Presentation Modifications?

Use this section for editorial suggestions as well as relatively minor modifications of existing data that would enhance clarity. If the only modifications needed are minor and/or editorial, you may wish to recommend “Minor Revision” or “Accept”.

Reviewer #1: Discussion

I miss a discussion of the impact of the number of people counted in the DALY calculation (based on new cases only?) and the duration of the disability (only counted during MDT?). If these are not included appropriately, this will also significantly affect the resulting estimates.

Line 313-4: This may indicate that the SF-36 is not the most appropriate instrument to quantify the experience of depression and anxiety, which are found to be very common among persons affected by leprosy. It would be appropriate to note this in the light of the findings in the below two studies.

Line 316-8: see also Somar et al (2020). The impact of leprosy on the mental wellbeing of leprosy-affected persons and their family members - a systematic review.

Also Van Dorst et al (2020): ref 3 and

Bow-Bertrand et al (2019). An exploration into the psychological impact of leprosy in Sirajganj, Bangladesh.

Line 332: It may be worth noting that this has been found also for other NTDs, e.g.

Bailey F, Mondragon-Shem K, Haines LR, Olabi A, Alorfi A, Ruiz-Postigo JA, Alvar J, Hotez P, Adams ER, Vélez ID, Al-Salem W. Cutaneous leishmaniasis and co-morbid major depressive disorder: A systematic review with burden estimates. PLoS neglected tropical diseases. 2019 Feb 25;13(2):e0007092.

Bailey F, Eaton J, Jidda M, van Brakel WH, Addiss DG, Molyneux DH. Neglected tropical diseases and mental health: Progress, partnerships, and integration. Trends in parasitology. 2019 Jan 1;35(1):23-31.

Line 343: I would challenge this statement. HRQOL based weights may do a better job than the previous methods, but the SF-36 may still underestimate the impact, especially on social and work participation and on mental health, since it has not been designed to measure these based on the ICF and DSM frameworks. The very common impact on family members is not taken into account either.

Reviewer #2: Probably has too many tables and seems overly technical

--------------------

Summary and General Comments

Use this section to provide overall comments, discuss strengths/weaknesses of the study, novelty, significance, general execution and scholarship. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. If requesting major revision, please articulate the new experiments that are needed.

Reviewer #1: The DALY weights for leprosy are an important topic since revision has been overdue for a long time!

Reviewer #2: The authors present here a meta-analysis of leprosy disability weighting estimates, with particular emphasis on patient input. They suggest that leprosy is among the more “neglected of the neglected tropical diseases” in that the current antiquated disability estimates erroneously suggest a false low burden of disease in most populations, that can incorrectly skew distribution of health resources or bely the benefits of new intervention programs. This results mainly from a lack of patient input on psychological and social issues and a traditional reliance of physical impairment scores.

It is mind boggling that a disease so widely known, feared and stigmatized around the world, would not somehow include patient input on mental health and social impacts of their disease. Yet, among the more than 2000 manuscripts reviewed in this analysis only 14 included standardized patient input and among those only 8 also had robust enough data to be re-analyzed in this study. Perhaps not surprisingly, they observe that individuals with grade 0 and 1 disabilities also suffer mental health and social deficiencies and the resulting true burden of those disabilities are 4-20 times greater than previously understood.

This is an important contribution to bring leprosy more into the modern world. Based on solid statistical analysis the authors responsibly offer new disability definitions that can change the paradigm of disability estimation and disease burden in leprosy. The language of the paper is somewhat technical and the total number of tables could easily be halved.

In revision the authors should consider:

Line 222: “a” few

Lines 346-349: poorly phrased. As written implies the revised weights are not different from before. Should say they 'are similar to each other'

--------------------

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Reviewer #1: Yes: Wim H van Brakel

Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS Negl Trop Dis. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009209.r003

Decision Letter 1

Linda B Adams, Gerson Oliveira Penna

5 Feb 2021

Dear Drs. Richardus and Chandran,

We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'Revised estimates of leprosy disability weights for assessing the global burden of disease: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you may need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow up email. A member of our team will be in touch with a set of requests.

Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated.

IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript.

Should you, your institution's press office or the journal office choose to press release your paper, you will automatically be opted out of early publication. We ask that you notify us now if you or your institution is planning to press release the article. All press must be co-ordinated with PLOS.

Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

Best regards,

Linda B Adams

Associate Editor

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Gerson Penna

Deputy Editor

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

***********************************************************

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009209.r004

Acceptance letter

Linda B Adams, Gerson Oliveira Penna

22 Feb 2021

Dear Prof. Richardus,

We are delighted to inform you that your manuscript, "Revised estimates of leprosy disability weights for assessing the global burden of disease: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis," has been formally accepted for publication in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

We have now passed your article onto the PLOS Production Department who will complete the rest of the publication process. All authors will receive a confirmation email upon publication.

The corresponding author will soon be receiving a typeset proof for review, to ensure errors have not been introduced during production. Please review the PDF proof of your manuscript carefully, as this is the last chance to correct any scientific or type-setting errors. Please note that major changes, or those which affect the scientific understanding of the work, will likely cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript. Note: Proofs for Front Matter articles (Editorial, Viewpoint, Symposium, Review, etc...) are generated on a different schedule and may not be made available as quickly.

Soon after your final files are uploaded, the early version of your manuscript will be published online unless you opted out of this process. The date of the early version will be your article's publication date. The final article will be published to the same URL, and all versions of the paper will be accessible to readers.

Thank you again for supporting open-access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

Best regards,

Shaden Kamhawi

co-Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Paul Brindley

co-Editor-in-Chief

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Table. PRISMA-IPD checklist.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. List of similarly weighted disease sequelae.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Appendix. Search strategy and selection criteria.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Appendix. Summary of missing data, multiple imputation and disability weight transformation.

    (DOCX)

    S3 Appendix. Summary of meta-analyzed domain scores.

    (DOCX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: List of responses.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.


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