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. 2021 Mar 12;12:1634. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-21944-4

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 1 — a Map of French Guiana (Source: https://gadm.org/maps.html). b Population pyramids for Metropolitan France and French Guiana. c Age-specific probability of hospitalization given infection $p_{H}^{A g e}$ in Metropolitan France (%). d Average probability of hospitalization given infection p_H in Metropolitan France and French Guiana (%). e Daily hospital admissions in French Guiana and timeline of interventions. In panels c and d, dots denote posterior means while bars denote 95% credible intervals.