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. 2020 Dec 29;10(1):e018807. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018807

Table 2.

Cumulative Incidences of AMI After AIS for All Subgroups

Variable Cumulative Incidence, % (95% CI) P Value*
1 y 2 y 3 y 4 y 5 y
Total all patients 1.07 (0.89–1.27) 1.29 (1.10–1.51) 1.56 (1.35–1.80) 1.81 (1.58–2.07) 1.97 (1.72–2.26)
Aged ≤70 y 0.85 (0.65–1.11) 1.05 (0.82–1.33) 1.26 (1.00–1.56) 1.42 (1.15–1.75) 1.61 (1.30–1.98) 0.0022
Aged >70 y 1.31 (1.03–1.63) 1.56 (1.26–1.91) 1.90 (1.57–2.29) 2.25 (1.87–2.67) 2.38 (1.98–2.83)
Women 1.08 (0.81–1.40) 1.24 (0.96–1.59) 1.47 (1.16–1.84) 1.67 (1.33–2.07) 1.85 (1.47–2.29) 0.41
Men 1.06 (0.84–1.32) 1.32 (1.07–1.61) 1.63 (1.35–1.95) 1.91 (1.60–2.26) 2.06 (1.73–2.44)
No history of hypertension 0.58 (0.38–0.86) 0.71 (0.48–1.02) 0.89 (0.63–1.23) 1.06 (0.76–1.43) 1.23 (0.89–1.67) <0.001
History of hypertension 1.30 (1.07–1.57) 1.57 (1.31–1.86) 1.88 (1.60–2.20) 2.17 (1.86–2.52) 2.33 (2.00–2.70)
No history of diabetes mellitus 0.82 (0.64–1.04) 0.95 (0.76–1.18) 1.18 (0.96–1.44) 1.40 (1.16–1.69) 1.51 (1.24–1.82) <0.001
History of diabetes mellitus 1.56 (1.21–2.00) 1.98 (1.58–2.46) 2.35 (1.90–2.86) 2.65 (2.17–3.20) 2.65 (2.17–3.20)
No history of CHD 0.76 (0.61–0.94) 1.00 (0.82–1.20) 1.24 (1.04–1.46) 1.46 (1.24–1.71) 1.64 (1.39–1.92) <0.001
History of CHD 4.12 (3.05–5.44) 4.22 (3.13–5.54) 4.78 (3.61–6.18) 5.32 (4.07–6.79) 5.32 (4.07–6.79)
Stroke subtype 0.001
Large‐artery atherosclerosis 0.97 (0.71–1.30) 1.13 (0.85–1.49) 1.46 (1.13–1.85) 1.82 (1.45–2.26) 2.18 (1.73–2.71)
Small‐vessel occlusion 0.29 (9.12–0.61) 0.53 (0.29–0.93) 0.73 (0.43–1.17) 0.84 (0.51–1.32) 0.84 (0.51–1.32)
Cardioembolism 1.56 (1.13–2.10) 1.84 (1.36–2.42) 2.08 (1.57–2.69) 2.31 (1.77–2.97) 2.38 (1.82–3.04)
Other determined 0.79 (0.16–2.62) 0.79 (0.16–2.62) 1.18 (0.33–3.20) 1.18 (0.33–3.20) 1.18 (0.33–3.20)
Undetermined 1.40 (1.00–1.92) 1.67 (1.23–2.23) 1.95 (1.47–2.54) 2.15 (1.63–2.77) 2.23 (1.69–2.88)
No symptomatic carotid artery disease 0.98 (0.80–1.18) 1.21 (1.01–1.43) 1.47 (1.26–1.72) 1.70 (1.46–1.97) 1.84 (1.58–2.13) 0.007
Symptomatic carotid artery disease 1.81 (1.18–2.67) 1.97 (1.31–2.85) 2.29 (1.57–3.22) 2.73 (1.93–3.75) 3.06 (2.16–4.20)
No history of atrial fibrillation 0.90 (0.72–1.10) 1.11 (0.91–1.34) 1.37 (1.15‐1.62) 1.64 (1.39‐1.92) 1.83 (1.55‐2.14) 0.01
History of atrial fibrillation 1.71 (1.26‐2.29) 1.96 (1.47‐2.57) 2.29 (1.75‐2.94) 2.47 (1.90‐3.14) 2.53 (1.96‐3.22)

AIS indicates acute ischemic stroke; AMI, acute myocardial infarction; and CHD, coronary heart disease.

*

P values determined with the Grey test.