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. 2020 Dec 29;10(1):e018476. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018476

Table 5.

Cox Regression Model

Variable Hazard Ratio (95% CI) Beta Coefficient Standard Error Significance
AF/AFL 2.07 (1.33–3.23) 0.73 0.23 0.001
QRS abnormality 1.09 (0.75–1.59) 0.08 0.19 0.662
ST‐T wave abnormality 1.06 (0.79–1.43) 0.06 0.15 0.692
Initial hs‐cTnT ≥20 ng/L 4.57 (3.02–6.92) 1.52 0.21 <0.001
Age per year 1.04 (1.03–1.05) 0.04 0.01 <0.001
Male sex 1.25 (0.91–1.72) 0.22 0.16 0.169
Hypertension 1.03 (0.69–1.52) 0.03 0.20 0.892
Diabetes mellitus 1.32 (0.96–1.80) 0.28 0.16 0.084
CKD 1.06 (0.75–1.52) 0.06 0.18 0.732
Primary lung disease 1.27 (0.86–1.87) 0.24 0.20 0.232
Coronary artery disease 1.56 (1.04–2.33) 0.44 0.21 0.032
Obesity 1.16 (0.83–1.62) 0.14 0.17 0.401
HFrEF 1.23 (0.73–2.07) 0.21 0.27 0.442
HFpEF 1.10 (0.62–1.96) 0.10 0.30 0.748
Active cancer 1.87 (1.00–3.48) 0.63 0.32 0.049
History of cancer 1.10 (0.64–1.89) 0.09 0.28 0.742

In this Cox regression model, initial high sensitivity troponin T (hs‐cTnT) ≥20, older age, a rhythm diagnosis of AF/AFL versus sinus rhythms, ectopic atrial rhythms, and atrially paced rhythms, a history of CAD, and active cancer were associated with increased morality. The variable effect size of ECG abnormalities on 30‐day mortality based on whether initial high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs‐cTnT) was >20 ng/L was further explored in this model. Three separate interaction terms (between elevated hs‐cTnT + each individual ECG abnormality [AF/AFL, QRS abnormalities, and ST‐T wave abnormalities] were tested. These 3 interaction terms were added to the model alone (without the other 2 interaction terms) or together (all 3 interaction terms added to the model). Neither of these interaction terms were significant. These interaction terms were therefore omitted from the model. AF/AFL indicates atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter, CKD indicates stage 3 or greater chronic kidney disease, HFrEF indicates heart failure with reduced ejection fraction which was defined as a clinical diagnosis of systolic heart failure or a baseline echocardiogram with left ventricular ejection fraction <50%, HFpEF indicates heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.