Skip to main content
. 2020 Dec 4;127:103311. doi: 10.1016/j.jue.2020.103311

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Evolution of COVID-19 Case and Mortality Growth Rates for Early Versus Late Spring Break Counties. Notes: Each panel above plots the average three-day exponential growth rate of either confirmed COVID-19 cases or mortality separately for early versus late spring break counties. Early spring break counties are defined as counties with more than 25% of the college student population having a spring break which ends before March 9th (120 counties). Late spring break counties are counties with fewer than 25% of the county college student population with early spring breaks (635 counties). The shaded region denotes the early spring break period ending on March 8th. Outcome data come from the New York Times. We also replicate this plot for the level of both confirmed cases and mortality in Figure A.3 to show how the two groups diverge over time.