Table 2. Estimates of R0 as a function of t and their 95% confidence intervals for the Diamond Princess COVID-19 outbreak when aratio = 0.505a.
R0 as a function of t; 95%CI | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
time interval | 2/2-2/7 (t = 3) | 2/8-2/13 (t = 4) | 2/14-2/19 (t = 5) | |
τ = 6; rp = 0.2b | passengers in (d)(iv) | 3.78 (3.49, 4.09) | 4.73 (4.37, 5.12) | 4.39 (4.06, 4.75) |
crew | 1.06 (0.98, 1.15) | 1.05 (0.97, 1.14) | ||
combined | 2.90 (2.67, 3.13) | 2.73 (2.52, 2.95) | ||
τ = 6; rp = 0.3 | passengers in (d)(iv) | 4.20 (3.87, 4.55) | 5.26 (4.84, 5.69) | 4.88 (4.50, 5.29) |
crew | 1.18 (1.08, 1.28) | 1.17 (1.08, 1.27) | ||
combined | 3.22 (2.97, 3.49) | 3.03 (2.79, 3.28) | ||
time interval | 2/5-2/9 (t = 4) | 2/10-2/14 (t = 5) | 2/15-2/19 (t = 6) | |
τ = 5; rp = 0.2b | passengers in (d)(iv) | 4.18 (3.86, 4.52) | 4.08 (3.77, 4.42) | 3.74 (3.45, 4.04) |
crew | 0.92 (0.85, 1.00) | 0.92 (0.85, 0.99) | 0.91 (0.84, 0.98) | |
combined | 2.55 (2.36, 2.76) | 2.50 (2.31, 2.71) | 2.32 (2.15, 2.52) |