Table 3. Potential deaths and severe infections per year in Africa and South America from ensemble model projections.
| Continent | Year | Severe infections, median | Severe infections, 95% CrI low | Severe infections, 95% CrI high | Deaths, median | Deaths, 95% CrI low | Deaths, 95% CrI high |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Africa | 1995 | 102,972 | 62,162 | 160,700 | 48,474 | 28,672 | 76,998 |
| Africa | 2005 | 122,101 | 74,915 | 192,773 | 57,182 | 34,446 | 90,736 |
| Africa | 2013 | 98,148 | 62,083 | 150,953 | 45,973 | 28,680 | 72,380 |
| Africa | 2018 | 100,952 | 63,001 | 158,362 | 47,318 | 29,162 | 74,981 |
| Americas | 1995 | 14,349 | 6528 | 26,016 | 6652 | 3026 | 12,577 |
| Americas | 2005 | 10,254 | 4988 | 18,436 | 4827 | 2265 | 8779 |
| Americas | 2013 | 8559 | 4264 | 15,043 | 3999 | 1969 | 7162 |
| Americas | 2018 | 8331 | 4306 | 14,608 | 3883 | 1971 | 7033 |