Table 1.
Global and regional probabilities of dying among youth aged 15–19 years, 20–24 years, and 15–24 years for 1990–2019
|
Probability 5q15 |
Probability 5q20 |
Probability 10q15 |
Annual rate of reduction in 10q15, 1990–2019 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2000 | 2019 | 1990 | 2000 | 2019 | 1990 | 2000 | 2019 | |||
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 18·6 (17·6–21·1) | 15·6 (15·2–16·9) | 10·2 (9·5–11·5) | 25·0 (22·3–32·6) | 21·9 (20·8–24·2) | 13·2 (11·8–17·0) | 43·2 (41·5–51·2) | 37·2 (36·7–39·8) | 23·3 (22·1–27·3) | 2·1% (1·6–2·7) | |
| Eastern and southern Africa | 20·0 (19·1–23·5) | 16·9 (16·6–18·7) | 9·3 (8·6–10·7) | 28·5 (25·4–34·6) | 25·3 (24·4–28·6) | 12·9 (11·3–17·1) | 47·9 (46·5–54·8) | 41·7 (41·6–45·8) | 22·1 (20·7–26·7) | 2·7% (2·1–3·1) | |
| West and central Africa | 17·1 (14·6–20·1) | 14·1 (12·9–15·6) | 11·1 (9·7–13·2) | 21·0 (15·7–34·3) | 18·1 (15·6–21·0) | 13·6 (10·4–19·1) | 37·7 (33·4–51·3) | 32·0 (30·0–34·6) | 24·6 (21·8–30·4) | 1·5% (0·6–2·6) | |
| Middle East and north Africa | 7·0 (6·3–7·8) | 4·6 (4·4–4·9) | 4·5 (4·2–4·8) | 7·6 (5·7–13·8) | 5·5 (4·8–6·3) | 5·5 (4·8–6·7) | 14·5 (12·8–20·8) | 10·0 (9·4–10·9) | 9·9 (9·2–11·3) | 1·3% (0·7–2·5) | |
| South Asia | 10·5 (9·8–11·3) | 8·0 (7·7–8·4) | 4·7 (4·1–5·4) | 13·9 (12·0–16·5) | 11·1 (10·2–12·1) | 6·1 (4·4–8·7) | 24·3 (22·5–26·7) | 19·0 (18·2–20·0) | 10·8 (8·8–13·6) | 2·8% (2·0–3·6) | |
| East Asia and Pacific | 5·4 (4·9–6·1) | 4·1 (3·8–4·4) | 2·4 (2·1–2·8) | 4·7 (3·4–6·6) | 4·5 (3·8–5·4) | 3·5 (2·5–5·2) | 10·2 (9·0–11·9) | 8·6 (8·0–9·5) | 5·9 (4·8–7·8) | 1·9% (0·8–2·8) | |
| Latin America and Caribbean | 6·0 (5·9–6·2) | 5·4 (5·3–5·5) | 5·0 (4·8–5·2) | 8·8 (8·3–9·3) | 7·9 (7·7–8·1) | 7·3 (6·8–8·1) | 14·7 (14·3–15·3) | 13·2 (13·0–13·4) | 12·3 (11·7–13·1) | 0·6% (0·4–0·8) | |
| North America | 4·3 (4·2–4·4) | 3·3 (3·3–3·4) | 2·6 (2·4–2·7) | 5·3 (5·1–5·6) | 4·5 (4·4–4·7) | 4·9 (4·2–5·7) | 9·6 (9·4–9·8) | 7·8 (7·7–8·0) | 7·5 (6·7–8·3) | 0·9% (0·5–1·2) | |
| Europe and central Asia | 4·7 (3·8–5·4) | 4·0 (3·9–4·2) | 1·9 (1·8–1·9) | 6·0 (4·9–13·2) | 6·3 (5·9–6·8) | 2·7 (2·6–2·8) | 10·7 (8·9–17·8) | 10·3 (9·9–10·8) | 4·5 (4·4–4·7) | 3·0% (2·3–4·7) | |
| Western Europe | 3·0 (3·0–3·0) | 2·4 (2·3–2·4) | 1·2 (1·2–1·2) | 4·2 (4·1–4·2) | 3·3 (3·3–3·4) | 1·8 (1·8–1·9) | 7·1 (7·1–7·2) | 5·7 (5·7–5·7) | 3·0 (3·0–3·1) | 2·9% (2·8–3·0) | |
| Eastern Europe and central Asia | 6·5 (4·6–7·9) | 5·4 (5·1–5·7) | 2·5 (2·5–2·6) | 8·2 (5·8–24·0) | 9·1 (8·3–10·2) | 3·5 (3·4–3·8) | 14·6 (10·8–30·2) | 14·5 (13·7–15·6) | 6·0 (5·9–6·3) | 3·0% (2·0–5·5) | |
| World | 8·0 (7·7–8·3) | 6·7 (6·6–6·9) | 4·9 (4·7–5·2) | 9·2 (8·6–11·0) | 8·8 (8·4–9·2) | 6·3 (5·8–7·5) | 17·1 (16·5–18·9) | 15·4 (15·1–15·9) | 11·2 (10·7–12·5) | 1·4% (1·1–1·8) | |
Probability 5q15 is the probability of young people alive at age 15 years dying before reaching age 20 years, probability 5q20 is the probability of young people alive at age 20 years dying before reaching age 25 years, and probability 10q15 is the probability of young people aged 15 years dying before reaching age 25 years, all expressed per 1000 youths in 1990, 2000, and 2019, with 90% uncertainty intervals. Definitions of regional classifications are in the appendix (p 164).