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. 2021 Mar 18;195:77–91. doi: 10.1016/j.ymeth.2021.03.008

Table 2.

Input variables distributions (normal) used for orthogonal Latin hypercube design for testing, contact tracing and quarantine. There are three types of diagnostic testing flow strategies, Cohort (e.g. school district or neighborhood), random (broader surveillance), and symptomatic testing. The lowest values and highest values are within three standard deviations of the mean.

Variable Normal Distribution Values Units
Mean Stand. Dev. Lowest Highest
Fraction Contact Traced and Quarantined 0.5 0.1 0.20 0.8 Dimensionless (rate)
Cohort Testing Outcome Probabilities [False Negative] 0.275 0.075 0.05 0.50 Dimensionless (rate)
Random Testing Outcome Probabilities [False Negative] 0.275 0.075 0.05 0.50 Dimensionless (rate)
Symptomatic Testing Outcome Probabilities [False Negative] 0.275 0.075 0.05 0.50 Dimensionless (rate)
Cohort Testing Time 60 13 21 99 Hours
Random Testing Time 60 13 21 99 Hours
Symptomatic Testing Time 60 13 21 99 Hours
Fraction Traced Tested 0.56 0.14 0.14 0.98 %
Nominal Random Testing Rate 80 23 11 149 Tests per hour